Belenenses vs Fafe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Belenenses - Fafe
Result
3:2
04/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
56
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
05
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
75
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Sambu M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 50', 1 - 1, Nandinho ,
  • 58', Leite T. 🟨,
  • 62', Braga V. , Amorim J. ,
  • 62', Bruninho , Picas ,
  • 67', Tavares J. , Fernandes X. ,
  • 67', Horta Leitao D. , Ekanga Ondoa H. O. ,
  • 67', Cardoso F. , Farias E. ,
  • 68', Nandinho , Vigario J. ,
  • 75', Amorim J. 🟨,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Ekanga Ondoa H. O. ,
  • 77', Batista J. 🟨,
  • 79', Sambu M. , Cuca ,
  • 79', Serra Matos P. M. , Kodama R. ,
  • 80', 3 - 1, Pereira R. ,
  • 90+1', Pereira R. , Varela J. ,
  • 90+1', Brasido D. , Gabriel Passos ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+6', 3 - 2, Leite T. ,
  • 90+9', Ribeiro Oliveira J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Belenenses
38.6%
Draw
29.6%
Fafe
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 29.7% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 29.5% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Fafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Belenenses - Fafe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.42)
    3.12
    (3.09)
    2.9
    (2.84)
    8.4%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Belenenses won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Fafe were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Fafe - Belenenses 0:1
    Latest results of Belenenses
    26.04.2025 Varzim - Belenenses 0:0
    13.04.2025 Belenenses - 1 Dezembro 2:0
    05.04.2025 Atlético CP - Belenenses 2:2
    29.03.2025 Lusitânia - Belenenses 1:0
    Latest results of Fafe
    26.04.2025 Fafe - Atlético CP 2:0
    20.04.2025 Lusitânia - Fafe 2:1
    13.04.2025 Fafe - Amarante 1:1
    05.04.2025 1 Dezembro - Fafe 1:0
    29.03.2025 Fafe - Varzim 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Braga B32012:206
    2Varzim32015:146
    3Trofense31202:025
    4Sanjoanense21102:024
    5Amarante21013:303
    6AD Marco 0920200:002
    7Paredes30211:2-12
    8Vitoria Guimaraes B20112:3-11
    9AD Fafe20111:3-21
    10Sao Joao Ver20110:4-41


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    11u00ba Dezembro32103:127
    2Os Belenenses32103:127
    3Caldas22003:126
    4Santarem31112:204
    5Amora31111:104
    6Lusitano GC31024:313
    7Academica21012:203
    8Covilha30122:4-21
    9Mafra20112:5-31
    10Atletico CP20020:2-20

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