Result
3:2
21/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', Santos J. ↓, Carlos Daniel ↑,
- 36', Batista J. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Filipe J. ⚽,
- 45+1', Carlos Daniel 🟨,
- 45+5', 1 - 1, Ka (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 2, Carlos Daniel ⚽, Ka (A),
- 61', Almeida F. ↓, Arome ↑,
- 66', Amorim J. ↓, Fonseca T. ↑,
- 69', Ventura ↓, Conceicao M. ↑,
- 69', Filipe J. ↓, Ribeiro O. ↑,
- 75', Moreno Tavares Cunha M. ↓, Antunes Tiago C. J. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 2, Antunes Tiago C. J. ⚽,
- 85', Picas ↓, Leal J. ↑,
- 85', Ka ↓, Pinto G. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 2, Arome ⚽,
Chances of winning
Amarante
30.3% | Draw
30.6% | Fafe
39.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Fafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Amarante - Fafe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.01 ↓
(3.33) |
2.98 ↑
(2.91) |
2.34 ↑
(2.22) |
9.5%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amarante won 0.
- Amarante is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fafe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Amarante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Amarante won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Amarante won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Amarante won against Fafe?
Amarante has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fafe won against Amarante?
Fafe has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amarante - Fafe were as follows:
10.10.2025
Fafe
-
Amarante
3:0
13.04.2025
Fafe
-
Amarante
1:1
16.02.2025
Amarante
-
Fafe
1:3
18.01.2025
Amarante
-
Fafe
0:0
06.10.2024
Fafe
-
Amarante
4:1
Latest results of Amarante
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | Academica | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Mafra | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 13 |
| 6 | Varzim | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 |
| 7 | Santarem | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 8 | Trofense | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6:12 | -6 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
