Result
1:1
15/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', Pacheco F. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Santos J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Batista J. 🟨,
- 59', Picas 🟨,
- 62', Mauro Ribeiro ↓, Garro L. ↑,
- 63', Erivaldo 🟨,
- 65', Picas ↓, Davis SIlva ↑,
- 65', Braga V. ↓, Veiga T. ↑,
- 71', Pacheco F. ↓, Soares P. ↑,
- 71', Duarte D. ↓, Guimaraes B. ↑,
- 71', Erivaldo ↓, Sousa V. ↑,
- 72', Santos J. ↓, Fonseca T. ↑,
- 79', Pinto G. ↓, Breno ↑,
- 82', Silva J. ↓, Pedrosa C. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Silva D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Fafe
54.5% | Draw
26.4% | Marco 09
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Marco 09 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Fafe - Marco 09 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.7) |
3.48 ↑
(3.42) |
4.82 ↑
(4.76) |
8.9%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Fafe have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Marco is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Fafe is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fafe won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Fafe won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Fafe won against Marco 09?
Fafe has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marco 09 won against Fafe?
Marco 09 has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fafe - Marco 09 were as follows:
07.12.2025
Marco 09
-
Fafe
1:1
24.08.2025
Fafe
-
Marco 09
0:0
Latest results of Marco 09
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Academica | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Amarante | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:9 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Varzim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 6 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 7 | Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 8 | Mafra | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
