Marco 09 vs Fafe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
07/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
17
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Total shots
711
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', Silva D. 🟨,
  • 39', Pacheco F. , Matos T. ,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Mauro Ribeiro ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', 🟨,
  • 54', Pereira H. 🟥,
  • 55', Mauro Ribeiro 🟨,
  • 56', Mauro Ribeiro , Pedro M. ,
  • 62', Santos J. , Davis SIlva ,
  • 63', Ribeiro Oliveira J. , Braga V. ,
  • 76', Ze Oliveira , Teixeira T. ,
  • 76', Picas , Fonseca T. ,
  • 76', Castro D. 🟨,
  • 80', Andrezinho , Valente M. ,
  • 80', Kibe , Guimaraes B. ,
  • 80', Erivaldo , Sousa V. ,
  • 82', Carlos Daniel , Amorim J. ,
  • 86', Ka 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Batista J. ,

Chances of winning


Marco 09
29.1%
Draw
29.7%
Fafe
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.5% 31.2% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3% 29.8% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marco 09 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Fafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Marco 09 - Fafe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.15
    (3.34)
    3.08
    (2.94)
    2.22
    (2.22)
    9.2%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
    • Recent form of Marco has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fafe is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Fafe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Fafe might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marco 09 - Fafe were as follows:
    24.08.2025 Fafe - Marco 09 0:0
    Latest results of Marco 09
    29.11.2025 Marco 09 - Sanjoanense 2:1
    01.11.2025 Varzim - Marco 09 2:1
    25.10.2025 Marco 09 - Trofense 1:1
    18.10.2025 Marco 09 - Farense 0:3
    Latest results of Fafe
    29.11.2025 Fafe - Paredes 2:1
    23.11.2025 Fafe - Arouca 2:1
    09.11.2025 Sanjoanense - Fafe 1:1
    01.11.2025 Braga B - Fafe 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Guimaraes B42116:337
    2Academica32016:426
    3Amarante32014:316
    4Varzim42024:5-16
    5Os Belenenses41216:605
    6Mafra31112:204
    7Santarem31023:5-23
    8Trofense40222:5-32

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )