Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
08/11/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.64
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
83% (460/556)73% (268/369)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.241.01
Total shots
198
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
4914
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
85
Passes
83% (460/556)73% (268/369)
Long passes
34% (18/53)39% (22/56)
Passes in final third
82% (178/216)55% (65/119)
Crosses
29% (4/14)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.610.51
Throw-ins
2323
Fouls
58
Tackles
67% (10/15)42% (10/24)
Duels won
4552
Clearances
2823
Interceptions
1014
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
1.011.24
Goals prevented
0.010.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 44', Erison 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', Miyamoto E. , Sueyoshi R. ,
  • 61', Motoyama H. , Kamiya Yuta ,
  • 61', Kimura T. , Matsumoto M. ,
  • 66', Erison , Romanic L. ,
  • 66', Marcinho , Ienaga A. ,
  • 77', Wakizaka Y. , Ozeki Y. ,
  • 77', Tachibanada K. , Yamamoto Y. ,
  • 77', Lucao , Werik Popo ,
  • 77', Esaka A. , Iwabuchi H. ,
  • 80', Werik Popo 🟨,
  • 84', 1 - 0, Yamamoto Y. ,
  • 90+3', Ito T. , Tanabe S. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Matsumoto M. , Sato R. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kawasaki Frontale
57.8%
Draw
22.5%
Fagiano Okayama
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 22.4% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 22.1% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Kawasaki Frontale - Fagiano Okayama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.65)
    4.18
    (4.22)
    4.79
    (4.65)
    5.9%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Fagiano Okayama?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Kawasaki Frontale will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 15).
    • Kawasaki has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Okayama is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Kawasaki is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Kawasaki: Kurumaya S. (Calf Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Maruyama Y. (Knee Injury) Miura S. (Injury) Oshima R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Okayama: Suzuki Y. (Yellow Cards) Tatsuta Y. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Kawasaki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
    16.03.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Kawasaki Frontale 0:0
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers9702016:723
    2FC Tokyo10432116:920
    3Machida10431216:1619
    4Kawasaki Frontale9321316:1714
    5Verdy9320414:1413
    6Kashiwa Reysol9310515:1311
    7Urawa Reds9302413:1311
    8Mito9123311:1810
    9Yokohama F. Marinos9300612:159
    10Chiba920259:168


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe10612120:1022
    2Gamba Osaka9332116:1317
    3Nagoya Grampus9412215:1216
    4Shimizu S-Pulse10323214:1216
    5Kyoto9321312:1114
    6V-Varen Nagasaki9400510:1412
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima9310513:1311
    8Cerezo Osaka922149:1111
    9Okayama9213310:1511
    10Avispa Fukuoka912159:178

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)