Result
2:0
25/10/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 35
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (273/341) | 88% (557/633) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 1.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (273/341) | 88% (557/633) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (17/46) | 44% (18/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (70/113) | 79% (171/216) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.34 | 2.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Rafael Ratao ⚽,
- 7', 2 - 0, Tanaka S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kawahara S. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
- 46', Tanabe S. ↓, Uremovic F. ↑,
- 60', Marcinho ↓, Ienaga A. ↑,
- 68', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
- 68', Ohata A. ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
- 75', Ito T. ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
- 78', Erison ↓, Romanic L. ↑,
- 79', Rafael Ratao ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
- 79', Uremovic F. 🟨,
- 89', Shibayama M. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
- 89', Kida H. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cerezo Osaka
37.1% | Draw
24.8% | Kawasaki Frontale
38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerezo Osaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kawasaki Frontale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.34) |
3.83 ↑
(3.71) |
2.52 ↓
(2.77) |
5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 15.4% – 84.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Kawasaki (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 2.
- Cerezo Osaka has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Kawasaki has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cerezo Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L.
(Injury)
Hirano Y.
(Inactive)
Noborizato K.
(Knee Injury)
Uejo S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kawasaki: Kurumaya S.
(Calf Injury)
Lee G.
(Knee Injury)
Maruyama Y.
(Knee Injury)
Miura S.
(Injury)
Oshima R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Ohata A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kawasaki: Tanabe S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:34. (average 1.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Kawasaki Frontale?
Cerezo Osaka has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Cerezo Osaka?
Kawasaki Frontale has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:
18.05.2025
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:0
14.07.2024
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:1
13.04.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Kawasaki Frontale
1:0
02.09.2023
Cerezo Osaka
-
Kawasaki Frontale
3:0
18.03.2023
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Cerezo Osaka
0:0
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:7 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Machida | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Verdy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Mito | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13:18 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Okayama | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
