Result
0:1
21/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 76% | 24% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (495/565) | 69% (119/173) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (495/565) | 69% (119/173) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (24/47) | 57% (25/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (165/199) | 70% (60/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Lucao ⚽, Kamiya Yuta (A),
- 45+6', Matsumoto M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Matsumoto M. ↓, Yanagi T. ↑,
- 58', Esaka A. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
- 66', Kamiya Yuta ↓, Takeuchi R. ↑,
- 70', Tono D. ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
- 70', Elber ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
- 71', Takeuchi R. 🟨,
- 83', Lucao ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
- 83', Sato R. ↓, Motoyama H. ↑,
- 87', Kida T. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
- 90', Yan ↓, Watanabe T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Yokohama F. Marinos
43.5% | Draw
27.4% | Fagiano Okayama
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yokohama F. Marinos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fagiano Okayama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.48) |
3.46 ↓
(3.49) |
3.25 ↑
(2.82) |
4.5%
(4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Okayama will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Okayama (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 13).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Okayama has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T.
(Knee Injury)
Miyaichi R.
(Injury)
Noguchi R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Suwama K.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yokohama FM won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Fagiano Okayama?
Yokohama F. Marinos has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Yokohama F. Marinos?
Fagiano Okayama has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
29.03.2025
Fagiano Okayama
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
1:0
Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 55 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 55 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 54 |
| 5 | Machida | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:32 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 35:21 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 53:38 | 15 | 48 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 47 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 43 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 46:41 | 5 | 42 |
| 11 | Okayama | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 26:29 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 36 |
| 14 | Nagoya Grampus | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Verdy | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 32 |
| 16 | FC Tokyo | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:50 | -24 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:36 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 29 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27:49 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
