Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama
Result
0:1
21/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.74
Ball Possession
76%24%
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
88% (495/565)69% (119/173)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.891.35
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
22
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
2920
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
145
Passes
88% (495/565)69% (119/173)
Long passes
51% (24/47)57% (25/44)
Passes in final third
83% (165/199)70% (60/86)
Crosses
24% (5/21)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.390.61
Throw-ins
2421
Fouls
514
Tackles
67% (8/12)56% (10/18)
Duels won
3843
Clearances
2531
Interceptions
1214
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.350.89
Goals prevented
0.350.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Lucao , Kamiya Yuta (A),
  • 45+6', Matsumoto M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Matsumoto M. , Yanagi T. ,
  • 58', Esaka A. , Iwabuchi H. ,
  • 66', Kamiya Yuta , Takeuchi R. ,
  • 70', Tono D. , Watanabe K. ,
  • 70', Elber , Inoue K. ,
  • 71', Takeuchi R. 🟨,
  • 83', Lucao , Werik Popo ,
  • 83', Sato R. , Motoyama H. ,
  • 87', Kida T. , Amano J. ,
  • 90', Yan , Watanabe T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Yokohama F. Marinos
43.5%
Draw
27.4%
Fagiano Okayama
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 27.4% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 27.8% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yokohama F. Marinos that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fagiano Okayama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.48)
    3.46
    (3.49)
    3.25
    (2.82)
    4.5%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Okayama will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Okayama (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 13).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Okayama has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Miyaichi R. (Injury) Noguchi R. (Hamstring Injury) Suwama K. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yokohama FM won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0
    Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers27163840:261451
    2Machida28155842:261650
    3Kashiwa Reysol27148540:271350
    4Vissel Kobe28155836:261050
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima28154933:191449
    6Kyoto26146643:301348
    7Urawa Reds27128738:30844
    8Kawasaki Frontale27119745:351042
    9Okayama271161026:23339
    10Cerezo Osaka27108941:38338
    11Avispa Fukuoka27910827:26137
    12Gamba Osaka281141333:40-737
    13Shimizu S-Pulse27881130:35-532
    14Verdy27871216:28-1231
    15FC Tokyo26861229:37-830
    16Nagoya Grampus27771333:41-828
    17Yokohama F. Marinos27671426:34-825
    18Shonan Bellmare27671422:42-2025
    19Yokohama FC27641718:35-1722
    20Albirex Niigata27481527:47-2020

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League