Result
0:1
21/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.68 | 0.74 |
Ball Possession |
---|
76% | 24% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
88% (495/565) | 69% (119/173) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.68 | 0.74 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.89 | 1.35 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 2 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
29 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
88% (495/565) | 69% (119/173) |
Long passes |
---|
51% (24/47) | 57% (25/44) |
Passes in final third |
---|
83% (165/199) | 70% (60/86) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (5/21) | 25% (4/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.39 | 0.61 |
Throw-ins |
---|
24 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
5 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (8/12) | 56% (10/18) |
Duels won |
---|
38 | 43 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 31 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.35 | 0.89 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.35 | 0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Lucao ⚽, Kamiya Yuta (A),
- 45+6', Matsumoto M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Matsumoto M. ↓, Yanagi T. ↑,
- 58', Esaka A. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
- 66', Kamiya Yuta ↓, Takeuchi R. ↑,
- 70', Tono D. ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
- 70', Elber ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
- 71', Takeuchi R. 🟨,
- 83', Lucao ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
- 83', Sato R. ↓, Motoyama H. ↑,
- 87', Kida T. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
- 90', Yan ↓, Watanabe T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Yokohama F. Marinos 43.5% | Draw 27.4% | Fagiano Okayama 29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yokohama F. Marinos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fagiano Okayama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.24 ↓ (2.48) |
3.46 ↓ (3.49) |
3.25 ↑ (2.82) |
4.5% (4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Okayama will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Okayama (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 13).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Okayama has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T.
(Knee Injury)
Miyaichi R.
(Injury)
Noguchi R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Suwama K.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yokohama FM won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Fagiano Okayama?
Yokohama F. Marinos has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Yokohama F. Marinos?
Fagiano Okayama has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
29.03.2025
Fagiano Okayama
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
1:0
Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 38 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 32 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League