Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Nissan Stadium (Yokohama).

J1 League - Round 21
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.68	0.74
Ball Possession
76%	24%
Total shots
19	12
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
9	6
Passes
88% (495/565)	69% (119/173)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68	0.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.89	1.35
Total shots
19	12
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
9	5
Blocked Shots
6	2
Shots inside the Box
11	6
Shots outside the Box
8	6
Hit the Woodwork
2	2
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
9	6
Touches in opposition box
29	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
14	5
Passes
88% (495/565)	69% (119/173)
Long passes
51% (24/47)	57% (25/44)
Passes in final third
83% (165/199)	70% (60/86)
Crosses
24% (5/21)	25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.39	0.61
Throw-ins
24	21
Fouls
5	14
Tackles
67% (8/12)	56% (10/18)
Duels won
38	43
Clearances
25	31
Interceptions
12	14
Errors leading to shot
0	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
xGOT faced
1.35	0.89
Goals prevented
0.35	0.89

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Lucao ⚽, Kamiya Yuta (A),
45+6', Matsumoto M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Matsumoto M. ↓, Yanagi T. ↑,
58', Esaka A. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
66', Kamiya Yuta ↓, Takeuchi R. ↑,
70', Tono D. ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
70', Elber ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
71', Takeuchi R. 🟨,
83', Lucao ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
83', Sato R. ↓, Motoyama H. ↑,
87', Kida T. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
90', Yan ↓, Watanabe T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Yokohama F. Marinos
43.5%

Draw
27.4%

Fagiano Okayama
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

27.4%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

27.8%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yokohama F. Marinos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fagiano Okayama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.48)	3.46 ↓ (3.49)	3.25 ↑ (2.82)	4.5% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Okayama will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 40% – 93.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Okayama (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 13).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, Okayama has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Miyaichi R. (Injury) Noguchi R. (Hamstring Injury) Suwama K. (Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yokohama FM won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Fagiano Okayama?

Yokohama F. Marinos has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Yokohama F. Marinos?

Fagiano Okayama has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:

29.03.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0

Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos

15.06.2025 Albirex Niigata - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0 ✺

11.06.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - ReinMeer Aomori 0:2 ✺

31.05.2025 Machida Zelvia - Yokohama F. Marinos 0:3 ✺

25.05.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers 3:1 ✺

21.05.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Vissel Kobe 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Fagiano Okayama

15.06.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1 ✺

11.06.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Giravanz Kitakyushu 0:2 ✺

01.06.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Fagiano Okayama 1:1 ✺

25.05.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia 2:2 ✺

18.05.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Albirex Niigata 2:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	35	20	7	8	53:29	24	67
2	Kashiwa Reysol	35	18	12	5	55:33	22	66
3	Kyoto	35	17	11	7	59:37	22	62
4	Vissel Kobe	35	18	8	9	45:30	15	62
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	35	17	8	10	39:26	13	59
6	Machida	35	16	9	10	49:35	14	57
7	Kawasaki Frontale	35	15	11	9	65:50	15	56
8	Urawa Reds	35	14	11	10	40:36	4	53
9	Gamba Osaka	35	16	5	14	48:52	-4	53
10	Cerezo Osaka	35	13	10	12	54:50	4	49
11	FC Tokyo	35	12	9	14	39:47	-8	45
12	Avispa Fukuoka	35	11	11	13	33:37	-4	44
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	35	11	11	13	39:44	-5	44
14	Verdy	35	11	9	15	22:36	-14	42
15	Okayama	35	11	8	16	31:40	-9	41
16	Nagoya Grampus	35	10	10	15	42:52	-10	40
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	35	10	7	18	39:44	-5	37
18	Yokohama FC	35	8	8	19	23:41	-18	32
19	Shonan Bellmare	35	6	8	21	29:59	-30	26
20	Albirex Niigata ✔	35	4	11	20	32:58	-26	23

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Clinched Spots for Teams

Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League