Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

City Light Stadium (Okayama).

J1 League - Round 12
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.25	0.42
Ball possession
39%	61%
Total shots
6	8
Shots on target
2	2
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
3	7
Passes
68% (195/288)	75% (339/452)
Yellow cards
0	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.25	0.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.95	0.09
Total shots
6	8
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked shots
2	2
Shots inside the box
4	5
Shots outside the box
2	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
3	7
Touches in opposition box
13	15
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
3	3
Free kicks
13	11
Passes
68% (195/288)	75% (339/452)
Long passes
36% (26/72)	30% (23/77)
Passes in final third
51% (47/92)	61% (95/156)
Crosses
13% (2/15)	16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.21	0.69
Throw ins
13	24
Fouls
11	13
Tackles
69% (9/13)	38% (5/13)
Duels won
57	53
Clearances
39	15
Interceptions
8	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	0
xGOT faced
0.09	1.95
Goals prevented
0.09	-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Tsujioka Y. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Shirai K. ⚽,
45+1', Shiihashi K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yamawaki K. ↓, Miki T. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Yamane T. ⚽, Shirai K. (A),
62', Shiihashi K. ↓, Kitajima Y. ↑,
62', Usui S. ↓, Michiwaki Y. ↑,
65', Esaka A. ↓, Kawano K. ↑,
65', Shirai K. ↓, Motoyama H. ↑,
74', Werik Popo ↓, Lucao ↑,
74', Ogura K. ↓, Suzuki Y. ↑,
75', Nago S. ↓, Sani Brown A. ↑,
75', Oka T. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
82', Kimura T. ↓, Leo Gaucho ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Fagiano Okayama
41.5%

Draw
30.4%

Avispa Fukuoka
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.7%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

29.9%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.26)	3.09 ↓ (3.29)	3.33 ↑ (3.21)	6.3% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 0.
Okayama is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Avispa Fukuoka is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Okayama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Okayama might have a minor edge in this game.
There are questionable in Okayama: Kudo K. (Hamstring Injury) Motoyama H. (Injury) Tabei R. (Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 0.9:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Okayama won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Avispa Fukuoka?

Fagiano Okayama has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Fagiano Okayama?

Avispa Fukuoka has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:

07.02.2026 Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama 2:1

15.06.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1

25.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama 1:1

Latest results of Fagiano Okayama

19.04.2026 Gamba Osaka - Fagiano Okayama 3:2 ✺

11.04.2026 Kyoto Sanga - Fagiano Okayama 5:1 ✺

05.04.2026 Fagiano Okayama - Vissel Kobe 1:4 ✺

21.03.2026 Fagiano Okayama - V-Varen Nagasaki 0:1 ✺

18.03.2026 Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka

22.04.2026 Gamba Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka 1:2 ✺

19.04.2026 Nagoya Grampus - Avispa Fukuoka 3:2 ✺

11.04.2026 Avispa Fukuoka - V-Varen Nagasaki 1:0 ✺

05.04.2026 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1 ✺

21.03.2026 Avispa Fukuoka - Gamba Osaka 3:2 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2026

East

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	13	10	0	2	1	21:9	32
2	FC Tokyo	13	7	3	2	1	27:13	29
3	Machida	12	5	4	1	2	20:18	24
4	Verdy	12	5	3	0	4	19:16	21
5	Kawasaki Frontale	13	5	2	1	5	20:23	20
6	Mito	13	2	3	4	4	19:27	16
7	Urawa Reds	13	4	0	3	6	18:19	15
8	Yokohama F. Marinos	13	5	0	0	8	20:24	15
9	Kashiwa Reysol	13	3	1	0	9	16:20	11
10	Chiba	13	2	0	3	8	13:24	9

West

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	12	7	1	3	1	23:13	26
2	Nagoya Grampus	13	5	2	3	3	23:19	22
3	Gamba Osaka	14	3	5	3	3	23:21	22
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	13	5	2	1	5	21:18	20
5	Kyoto	12	4	3	1	4	19:16	19
6	Cerezo Osaka	13	4	3	1	5	15:13	19
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	13	3	2	4	4	16:18	17
8	Okayama	13	3	2	4	4	17:24	17
9	Avispa Fukuoka	14	3	3	2	6	17:25	17
10	V-Varen Nagasaki	13	5	0	1	7	13:20	16

      Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)