Result
1:0
13/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
- Referee: Kazartsev V. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Asia | Q Football Asia, Q Sport Asia |
Belarus | Belarus 5 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Sport 4, Arena Sport 6 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.86 | 0.38 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
77% (301/391) | 69% (226/329) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.86 | 0.38 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.44 | 0.04 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
43 | 19 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
77% (301/391) | 69% (226/329) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (23/46) | 46% (34/74) |
Passes in final third |
---|
64% (105/165) | 60% (56/93) |
Crosses |
---|
38% (12/32) | 30% (3/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.04 | 0.39 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
86% (12/14) | 67% (12/18) |
Duels won |
---|
66 | 56 |
Clearances Total |
---|
21 | 42 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.04 | 1.44 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.04 | 1.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Fernandez R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Pestryakov D. ↓, Danilin K. ↑,
- 62', Lomovitskiy A. ↓, Giorgobiani N. ↑,
- 65', Bakaev S. ↓, Benchimol ↑,
- 72', 1 - 0, Dzyuba A. (Pen),
- 76', Mertens D. 🟨,
- 76', Kashtanov A. ↓, Pusi B. ↑,
- 76', Kovalev A. ↓, Alshin I. ↑,
- 90+1', Mertens D. ↓, Motpan N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Akron Tolyatti 47.8% | Draw 28.6% | Fakel 23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Akron Tolyatti's performance.Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fakel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Akron Tolyatti - Fakel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.03 ↓ (2.35) |
3.38 ↑ (3.36) |
4.1 ↑ (3.43) |
3.4% (1.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Akron Tolyatti - Fakel?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Akron (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Akron Tolyatti will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Akron won 4.
- Akron is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Fakel has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Akron will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Akron won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.1:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Akron won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Akron Tolyatti won against Fakel?
Akron Tolyatti has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against Akron Tolyatti?
Fakel has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akron Tolyatti - Fakel were as follows:
18.09.2024
Akron Tolyatti
-
Fakel
2:0
15.08.2024
Fakel
-
Akron Tolyatti
1:2
27.07.2024
Fakel
-
Akron Tolyatti
0:2
Latest results of Akron Tolyatti
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Krasnodar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Rubin Kazan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Zenit | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Baltika | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
7 | Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
8 | Krylya Sovetov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Akron Togliatti | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Orenburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
12 | FK Rostov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
15 | Pari NN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
16 | Sochi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL