Akron Tolyatti vs Fakel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
13/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 24
  • Referee: Kazartsev V. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaQ Football Asia, Q Sport Asia
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4, Arena Sport 6

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.860.38
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
77% (301/391)69% (226/329)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.860.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.440.04
Total shots
178
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
4319
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
77% (301/391)69% (226/329)
Long passes
50% (23/46)46% (34/74)
Passes in final third
64% (105/165)60% (56/93)
Crosses
38% (12/32)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.040.39
Fouls
1317
Tackles
86% (12/14)67% (12/18)
Duels won
6656
Clearances Total
2142
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.041.44
Goals prevented
0.041.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Fernandez R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Pestryakov D. , Danilin K. ,
  • 62', Lomovitskiy A. , Giorgobiani N. ,
  • 65', Bakaev S. , Benchimol ,
  • 72', 1 - 0, Dzyuba A. (Pen),
  • 76', Mertens D. 🟨,
  • 76', Kashtanov A. , Pusi B. ,
  • 76', Kovalev A. , Alshin I. ,
  • 90+1', Mertens D. , Motpan N. ,

Chances of winning


Akron Tolyatti
47.8%
Draw
28.6%
Fakel
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 29.3% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Akron Tolyatti's performance.
  • Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fakel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Akron Tolyatti - Fakel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.35)
    3.38
    (3.36)
    4.1
    (3.43)
    3.4%
    (1.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Akron Tolyatti - Fakel?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Akron Tolyatti will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Akron Tolyatti will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Akron won 4.
    • Akron is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Fakel has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Akron will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Akron won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.1:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Akron won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Akron Tolyatti - Fakel were as follows:
    18.09.2024 Akron Tolyatti - Fakel 2:0
    15.08.2024 Fakel - Akron Tolyatti 1:2
    27.07.2024 Fakel - Akron Tolyatti 0:2
    Latest results of Akron Tolyatti
    Latest results of Fakel
    05.04.2025 Fakel - Akhmat Grozny 0:0
    30.03.2025 Krasnodar - Fakel 5:0
    15.03.2025 Orenburg - Fakel 1:0
    08.03.2025 Fakel - Zenit 0:2
    02.03.2025 Khimki - Fakel 1:0
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Krasnodar23164348:163252
    2Zenit23156243:162751
    3Lokomotiv Moscow23128349:321744
    4Baltika231110232:112143
    5CSKA Moscow23133736:251142
    6Spartak Moscow23125637:31641
    7Rubin Kazan2396823:25-233
    8Dynamo Moscow2387840:33731
    9Akhmat Grozny2386927:29-230
    10FK Rostov23671018:25-725
    11Akron Togliatti23571128:40-1222
    12Dynamo Makhachkala23571114:29-1522
    13Krylya Sovetov23561223:42-1921
    14Pari NN23621518:37-1920
    15Orenburg23471224:36-1219
    16Sochi23231820:53-339

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL