Result
1:0
13/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
- Referee: Kazartsev V. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia, Q Sport Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4, Arena Sport 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (301/391) | 69% (226/329) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (301/391) | 69% (226/329) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (23/46) | 46% (34/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (105/165) | 60% (56/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (12/32) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.39 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 56 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 21 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Fernandez R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Pestryakov D. ↓, Danilin K. ↑,
- 62', Lomovitskiy A. ↓, Giorgobiani N. ↑,
- 65', Bakaev S. ↓, Benchimol ↑,
- 72', 1 - 0, Dzyuba A. (Pen),
- 76', Mertens D. 🟨,
- 76', Kashtanov A. ↓, Pusi B. ↑,
- 76', Kovalev A. ↓, Alshin I. ↑,
- 90+1', Mertens D. ↓, Motpan N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Akron Tolyatti
47.8% | Draw
28.6% | Fakel
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Akron Tolyatti's performance.Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fakel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Akron Tolyatti - Fakel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.35) |
3.38 ↑
(3.36) |
4.1 ↑
(3.43) |
3.4%
(1.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Akron Tolyatti - Fakel?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Akron (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Akron Tolyatti will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Akron won 4.
- Akron is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Fakel has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Akron will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Akron won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.1:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Akron won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Akron Tolyatti won against Fakel?
Akron Tolyatti has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against Akron Tolyatti?
Fakel has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akron Tolyatti - Fakel were as follows:
18.09.2024
Akron Tolyatti
-
Fakel
2:0
15.08.2024
Fakel
-
Akron Tolyatti
1:2
27.07.2024
Fakel
-
Akron Tolyatti
0:2
Latest results of Akron Tolyatti
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:7 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Baltika | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Zenit | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 | Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Akron Togliatti | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 | Sochi | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5:24 | -19 | 1 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
