Chayka Peschanokopskoye vs Fakel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Chayka Peschanokopskoye
6.7%
Draw
16.4%
Fakel
76.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.4% 25% 61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13% 24.2% 63.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chayka Peschanokopskoye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chayka Peschanokopskoye's form might have worsened.
  • Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fakel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chayka Peschanokopskoye, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fakel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Fakel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    14.16
    (7.12)
    5.78
    (3.82)
    1.23
    (1.55)
    5.7%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • Peschanokopskoye has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fakel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Peschanokopskoye may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Fakel is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peschanokopskoye won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peschanokopskoye won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Fakel were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Fakel - Chayka Peschanokopskoye 0:0
    Latest results of Fakel
    13.04.2026 Fakel - Rodina Moscow 1:3
    05.04.2026 Arsenal Tula - Fakel 1:2
    28.03.2026 Fakel - KAMAZ 0:0
    20.03.2026 Rotor - Fakel 1:0
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh28185535:161959
    2Rodina Moscow281510348:242455
    3Ural28147741:271449
    4R. Volgograd28129736:221445
    5S. Kostroma281111640:33744
    6Kamaz28913641:281340
    7Chelyabinsk28912737:31639
    8Yenisey28910927:32-537
    9Neftekhimik28812831:32-136
    10Arsenal Tula28812838:34436
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl28812823:23036
    12Torpedo Moscow28981129:34-535
    13SKA Khabarovsk28811931:37-635
    14Ulyanovsk28871331:41-1031
    15Chernomorets Novorossijsk28781332:39-729
    16Ufa286101229:35-628
    17FK Chayka28471726:63-3719
    18Saratov282101612:36-2416

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
          Relegation