Chayka Peschanokopskoye vs Fakel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
18/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 29
  • Referee: Gusakov O. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier

Match Stats

Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
59
Shots on target
42
Corner kicks
14
Yellow cards
30
Total shots
59
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
17
Corner kicks
14
Free kicks
1115

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', Rosputko O. 🟨,
  • 32', Simonov K. , Bagamaev A. ,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Sokolov A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Yakimov V. , Abdokov N. ,
  • 46', Chervyakov R. , Gagua D. ,
  • 61', Alshin I. , Motpan N. ,
  • 61', Turishchev M. , Uridia M. ,
  • 64', Dzhebov A. , Filev A. ,
  • 74', Giorgobiani N. , Gnapi Dable A. ,
  • 80', Sokolov A. , Kriushichev M. ,
  • 80', Rosputko O. , Chobanov R. ,
  • 80', Filev A. , Posmashnyi N. ,
  • 88', Fadeev S. 🟨,
  • 90', Ivanov I. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 2 - 0, Posmashnyi N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chayka Peschanokopskoye
8.4%
Draw
19%
Fakel
72.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.4% 25% 61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13% 24.2% 63.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chayka Peschanokopskoye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fakel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fakel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Fakel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    11.3
    (7.12)
    5
    (3.82)
    1.31
    (1.55)
    5.5%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • Peschanokopskoye is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fakel's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Fakel is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peschanokopskoye won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peschanokopskoye won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Fakel were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Fakel - Chayka Peschanokopskoye 0:0
    Latest results of Fakel
    13.04.2026 Fakel - Rodina Moscow 1:3
    05.04.2026 Arsenal Tula - Fakel 1:2
    28.03.2026 Fakel - KAMAZ 0:0
    20.03.2026 Rotor - Fakel 1:0
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh32197641:221964
    2Rodina Moscow321711452:272562
    3Ural31177748:282058
    4R. Volgograd311410740:231752
    5Kamaz321213746:311549
    6S. Kostroma321212845:39648
    7Yenisey3212101036:34246
    8Shinnik Yaroslavl311013830:25543
    9Chelyabinsk321013940:36443
    10Torpedo Moscow321191235:38-342
    11Neftekhimik3210121038:37142
    12Arsenal Tula31814939:37238
    13Ulyanovsk32991433:43-1036
    14SKA Khabarovsk318111232:45-1335
    15Ufa317101430:37-731
    16Chernomorets Novorossijsk32781733:48-1529
    17FK Chayka32572030:69-3922
    18Saratov324101814:43-2922

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
          Relegation