Result
18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Chayka Peschanokopskoye 6.7% | Draw 16.4% | Fakel 76.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chayka Peschanokopskoye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chayka Peschanokopskoye's form might have worsened.Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fakel's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chayka Peschanokopskoye, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-13.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fakel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Fakel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
14.16 ↑ (7.12) |
5.78 ↑ (3.82) |
1.23 ↓ (1.55) |
5.7% (4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
- Peschanokopskoye has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Fakel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Peschanokopskoye may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fakel is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peschanokopskoye won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peschanokopskoye won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Chayka Peschanokopskoye won against Fakel?
Chayka Peschanokopskoye has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against Chayka Peschanokopskoye?
Fakel has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Fakel were as follows:
28.09.2025
Fakel
-
Chayka Peschanokopskoye
0:0
Latest results of Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 35:16 | 19 | 59 |
| 2 | Rodina Moscow | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 55 |
| 3 | Ural | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 49 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 45 |
| 5 | S. Kostroma | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 40 |
| 7 | Chelyabinsk | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:31 | 6 | 39 |
| 8 | Yenisey | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 27:32 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 31:32 | -1 | 36 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 38:34 | 4 | 36 |
| 11 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | Torpedo Moscow | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | SKA Khabarovsk | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Ufa | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 29:35 | -6 | 28 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 26:63 | -37 | 19 |
| 18 | Saratov | 28 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 12:36 | -24 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation