Result
1:3
13/04/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 28
- Referee: Kashirin D. (Rus)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 6', 0 - 1, Timoshenko I. ⚽,
- 16', 0 - 2, Abdusalamov M. ⚽,
- 27', 0 - 3, Maksimenko A. ⚽,
- 30', Maksimenko A. 🟨,
- 44', Egorychev A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Alshin I. ↓, Gnapi Dable A. ↑,
- 46', Netfullin R. ↓, Giorgobiani N. ↑,
- 49', Yurganov I. 🟨,
- 53', Egorychev A. ↓, Musaev L. ↑,
- 53', Maksimenko A. ↓, Bakaev S. ↑,
- 56', Yakimov V. 🟨,
- 64', Bagamaev A. ↓, Simonov K. ↑,
- 64', Turishchev M. ↓, Motpan N. ↑,
- 64', Abdusalamov M. ↓, Bessmertniy S. ↑,
- 65', Timoshenko I. ↓, Cissoko K. ↑,
- 74', Yakimov V. ↓, Uridia M. ↑,
- 77', Reyna Y. ↓, Koryan A. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 3, Pusi B. ⚽,
- 89', Fishchenko R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fakel
43.2% | Draw
32.5% | Rodina Moscow
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Rodina Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Fakel - Rodina Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.32) |
2.98 ↑
(2.92) |
3.98 ↑
(3.66) |
3.5%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fakel - Rodina Moscow?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Rodina will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
- In recent matches, Fakel has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Rodina is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Rodina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Fakel could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against Rodina Moscow?
Fakel has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rodina Moscow won against Fakel?
Rodina Moscow has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fakel - Rodina Moscow were as follows:
15.09.2025
Rodina Moscow
-
Fakel
2:0
Latest results of Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 35:16 | 19 | 59 |
| 2 | Rodina Moscow | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 55 |
| 3 | Ural | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 49 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 45 |
| 5 | S. Kostroma | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 40 |
| 7 | Chelyabinsk | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:31 | 6 | 39 |
| 8 | Yenisey | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 27:32 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 31:32 | -1 | 36 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 38:34 | 4 | 36 |
| 11 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | Torpedo Moscow | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | SKA Khabarovsk | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Ufa | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 29:35 | -6 | 28 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 26:63 | -37 | 19 |
| 18 | Saratov | 28 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 12:36 | -24 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
