Krasnodar vs Fakel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian Premier League Krasnodar - Fakel
Result
5:0
30/03/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 22
  • Referee: Karasev S. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
kazakhstanKazakhstanQ Football, Q Sport International
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.061.22
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
2214
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
87% (375/433)70% (137/195)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
3.061.22
xG on target (xGOT)
2.990.87
Total shots
2214
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
139
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3716
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
915
Passes
87% (375/433)70% (137/195)
Long passes
58% (28/48)36% (15/42)
Passes in final third
83% (125/151)57% (43/75)
Crosses
42% (8/19)45% (5/11)
Expected assists (xA)
2.290.69
Fouls
159
Tackles
74% (14/19)64% (14/22)
Duels won
4855
Clearances Total
2227
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.872.99
Goals prevented
0.87-2.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Brahimi M. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Olaza L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (5 - 0)
  • 48', Cobnan M. D. 🟨,
  • 53', 1 - 0, Krivtsov N. , Joao Batxi (A),
  • 60', Mertens D. , Kashtanov A. ,
  • 60', Yakimov V. , Ivlev A. ,
  • 60', Brahimi M. , Motpan N. ,
  • 63', Lenini K. , Spertsyan E. ,
  • 63', Alshin I. , Kovalev A. ,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Spertsyan E. ,
  • 68', Joao Batxi , Olusegun O. ,
  • 68', Cobnan M. D. , Smolov F. ,
  • 69', 3 - 0, Olusegun O. ,
  • 70', Lomovitskiy A. , Giorgobiani N. ,
  • 74', 4 - 0, Olusegun O. ,
  • 79', Krivtsov N. , Kozlov D. ,
  • 79', Olaza L. , Petrov S. ,
  • 80', 5 - 0, Kozlov D. ,

Chances of winning


Krasnodar
64.8%
Draw
22.2%
Fakel
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.7% 21.5% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Krasnodar - Fakel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.45)
    4.26
    (4.49)
    7.27
    (8.19)
    5.7%
    (3.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Krasnodar - Fakel?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Krasnodar will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Fakel will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
    • Krasnodar is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Krasnodar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Krasnodar is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Krasnodar: Cordoba J. (Yellow Cards) Spertsyan E. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Fakel: Mertens D. (Red Card)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Krasnodar won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.4:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Krasnodar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Krasnodar - Fakel were as follows:
    04.08.2024 Fakel - Krasnodar 0:0
    19.04.2024 Krasnodar - Fakel 2:0
    25.08.2023 Fakel - Krasnodar 0:0
    05.11.2022 Fakel - Krasnodar 3:3
    Latest results of Krasnodar
    23.03.2025 Krasnodar - Amkal Moscow 6:1
    16.03.2025 Rostov - Krasnodar 0:0
    11.03.2025 Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny 1:2
    07.03.2025 Pari NN - Krasnodar 0:3
    01.03.2025 Krasnodar - Krylya Sovetov 1:1
    Latest results of Fakel
    15.03.2025 Orenburg - Fakel 1:0
    08.03.2025 Fakel - Zenit 0:2
    02.03.2025 Khimki - Fakel 1:0
    06.02.2025 Torpedo Moscow - Fakel 1:2
    08.12.2024 Fakel - CSKA Moscow 0:1
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lokomotiv Moscow11003:033
    2Krasnodar11003:033
    3Rubin Kazan11002:023
    4Zenit11002:113
    5Spartak Moscow11001:013
    6Baltika10101:101
    7Dynamo Moscow10101:101
    8Krylya Sovetov10101:101
    9Akron Togliatti10101:101
    10Orenburg10100:001
    11CSKA Moscow10100:001
    12FK Rostov10011:2-10
    13Dynamo Makhachkala10010:1-10
    14Akhmat Grozny10010:2-20
    15Pari NN10010:3-30
    16Sochi10010:3-30

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL