Krasnodar vs Krylya Sovetov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Ozon Arena (Krasnodar).

Premier League - Round 17
Referee: Karasev S. (Rus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Belarus	Belarus 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
4.10	0.24
Ball Possession
69%	31%
Total shots
26	5
Shots on target
8	1
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
11	0
Passes
90% (553/615)	71% (202/283)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
4.10	0.24
xG on target (xGOT)
3.30	0.05
Total shots
26	5
Shots on target
8	1
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
13	1
Shots inside the Box
16	3
Shots outside the Box
10	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
11	0
Touches in opposition box
47	6
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	0
Free Kicks
14	8
Passes
90% (553/615)	71% (202/283)
Long passes
71% (29/41)	35% (19/55)
Passes in final third
83% (222/269)	59% (32/54)
Crosses
29% (7/24)	0% (0/1)
Expected assists (xA)
4.35	0.35
Throw-ins
19	21
Fouls
8	14
Tackles
70% (7/10)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
43	29
Clearances
13	35
Interceptions
9	10
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.05	3.30
Goals prevented
0.05	-1.70

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Douglas Augusto ⚽, Cordoba J. (A),
24', Rahmanovic A. 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Spertsyan E. ⚽, Victor Sa (A),
44', Diego Costa 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Rahmanovic A. ↓, Khubulov V. ↑,
46', Rasskazov N. ↓, Lysov A. ↑,
46', Diego Costa ↓, Jubal Junior ↑,
53', 3 - 0, Spertsyan E. (Pen),
61', 4 - 0, Cordoba J. ⚽, Olaza L. (A),
63', Douglas Augusto ↓, Lenini K. ↑,
63', Victor Sa ↓, Perrin G. ↑,
69', Marin J. 🟨,
69', Vityugov M. ↓, Saveljev D. ↑,
70', Marin J. ↓, Ignatenko V. ↑,
72', Krivtsov N. ↓, Kozlov D. ↑,
72', Joao Batxi ↓, Furtado G. ↑,
75', Evgenyev R. ↓, Sutormin A. ↑,
83', Furtado G. 🟨,
84', Khubulov V. 🟨,
90', 5 - 0, Tormena ⚽, Spertsyan E. (A),

Chances of winning

Krasnodar
73.1%

Draw
17.4%

Krylya Sovetov
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

21.1%

9.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.1%

19.7%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Krasnodar - Krylya Sovetov Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.34)	5.45 ↑ (4.4)	9.91 ↑ (9.6)	5.8% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Krasnodar - Krylya Sovetov?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Krasnodar will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Krylya Sovetov will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Krasnodar: 68.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Krasnodar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 3.
Krasnodar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Krylya Sovetov's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Krasnodar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Krasnodar is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Krasnodar: Chernikov A. (Yellow Cards) Cobnan M. D. (Injury) Petrov S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Krylya Sovetov: Galdames T. (Ankle Injury) Oroz D. (Yellow Cards) Rakov V. (Foot Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:19. (average 1.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Krasnodar won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Krasnodar won against Krylya Sovetov?

Krasnodar has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Krylya Sovetov won against Krasnodar?

Krylya Sovetov has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Krasnodar - Krylya Sovetov were as follows:

17.09.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Krasnodar 1:2

24.08.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Krasnodar 0:6

29.07.2025 Krasnodar - Krylya Sovetov 1:2

01.03.2025 Krasnodar - Krylya Sovetov 1:1

28.10.2024 Krylya Sovetov - Krasnodar 1:2

Latest results of Krasnodar

26.11.2025 Krasnodar - Orenburg 4:0 ✺

23.11.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Krasnodar 1:1 ✺

09.11.2025 Baltika Kaliningrad - Krasnodar 1:1 ✺

05.11.2025 Orenburg - Krasnodar 1:3 ✺

02.11.2025 Krasnodar - Spartak Moscow 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Krylya Sovetov

27.11.2025 KAMAZ - Krylya Sovetov 1:2 ✺

23.11.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Rostov 2:0 ✺

16.11.2025 Dinamo Brest - Krylya Sovetov 1:1 ✺

09.11.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Zenit 1:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - Krylya Sovetov 2:0 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	27	18	6	3	55:21	34	60
2	Zenit	27	17	8	2	47:17	30	59
3	Lokomotiv Moscow	27	13	10	4	51:35	16	49
4	Spartak Moscow	27	14	6	7	44:36	8	48
5	Baltika	27	11	13	3	37:17	20	46
6	CSKA Moscow	27	13	6	8	38:28	10	45
7	Rubin Kazan	27	10	9	8	25:26	-1	39
8	Dynamo Moscow	27	10	8	9	46:37	9	38
9	Akhmat Grozny	27	8	8	11	31:37	-6	32
10	Akron Togliatti	27	6	9	12	33:45	-12	27
11	FK Rostov	27	6	9	12	20:29	-9	27
12	Orenburg	27	6	8	13	27:38	-11	26
13	Krylya Sovetov	27	6	8	13	29:47	-18	26
14	Dynamo Makhachkala	27	5	9	13	17:34	-17	24
15	Pari NN	27	6	4	17	23:44	-21	22
16	Sochi	27	5	3	19	24:56	-32	18

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL