Fakel vs Rotor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian FNL Fakel - Rotor
Result
4:0
20/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 15
  • Referee: Prokopov A. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
83
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
33
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
83
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
21
Corner Kicks
33
Free Kicks
911

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', Khramtsov M. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Pusi B. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 47', 2 - 0, Pusi B. ,
  • 58', Shilnikov G. , Safronov I. ,
  • 58', Maltsev M. , Sasin D. ,
  • 58', Khokhlachev A. , Davidyan D. ,
  • 61', Bagatelia L. 🟨,
  • 64', Bagatelia L. , Simonov K. ,
  • 64', Uridia M. , Yakimov V. ,
  • 64', Magomedov B. , Motpan N. ,
  • 65', Khramtsov M. , Semenov A. ,
  • 72', Pusi B. , Gongadze G. ,
  • 74', 3 - 0, Gongadze G. ,
  • 75', Arbuzov Y. , Nikishin K. ,
  • 83', Alshin I. , Kovalev A. ,
  • 90+2', 4 - 0, Gongadze G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fakel
42.8%
Draw
32.7%
Rotor
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.4% 30.5% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 29.8% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Rotor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Fakel - Rotor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.1)
    2.9
    (3.13)
    3.88
    (3.96)
    5.5%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 3.
    • Fakel is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Rotor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Rotor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Rotor has had a series of away games.
    • Fakel might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fakel won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).
    Latest results of Fakel
    16.10.2025 Fakel - Ural 1:0
    11.10.2025 Shinnik - Fakel 0:1
    04.10.2025 Fakel - Volga Ulyanovsk 2:1
    Latest results of Rotor
    28.09.2025 Shinnik - Rotor 2:0
    24.09.2025 Veles Moscow - Rotor 2:1
    20.09.2025 Ural - Rotor 0:0
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh16103317:9833
    2Ural1593324:16830
    3S. Kostroma1686224:16830
    4Rodina Moscow1676323:14927
    5R. Volgograd1675420:11926
    6Kamaz1675428:171126
    7Chelyabinsk1567220:12825
    8SKA Khabarovsk1665516:16023
    9Neftekhimik1647518:20-219
    10Shinnik Yaroslavl1647512:13-119
    11Yenisey1645712:21-917
    12Arsenal Tula1638523:22117
    13Chernomorets Novorossijsk1645719:20-117
    14Ufa1637618:20-216
    15Ulyanovsk1643917:28-1115
    16Saratov162869:16-714
    17Torpedo Moscow1635813:24-1114
    18FK Chayka1625914:32-1811

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
          Relegation