Fakel vs Rotor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
20/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 15
  • Referee: Prokopov A. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
83
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
33
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
83
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
21
Corner Kicks
33
Free Kicks
911

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', Khramtsov M. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Pusi B. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 47', 2 - 0, Pusi B. ,
  • 58', Shilnikov G. , Safronov I. ,
  • 58', Maltsev M. , Sasin D. ,
  • 58', Khokhlachev A. , Davidyan D. ,
  • 61', Bagatelia L. 🟨,
  • 64', Bagatelia L. , Simonov K. ,
  • 64', Uridia M. , Yakimov V. ,
  • 64', Magomedov B. , Motpan N. ,
  • 65', Khramtsov M. , Semenov A. ,
  • 72', Pusi B. , Gongadze G. ,
  • 74', 3 - 0, Gongadze G. ,
  • 75', Arbuzov Y. , Nikishin K. ,
  • 83', Alshin I. , Kovalev A. ,
  • 90+2', 4 - 0, Gongadze G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fakel
42.8%
Draw
32.7%
Rotor
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.4% 30.5% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 29.8% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Rotor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Fakel - Rotor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.1)
    2.9
    (3.13)
    3.88
    (3.96)
    5.5%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Fakel - Rotor?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 3.
    • Fakel is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Rotor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Rotor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Rotor has had a series of away games.
    • Fakel might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fakel won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).
    Latest results of Fakel
    16.10.2025 Fakel - Ural 1:0
    11.10.2025 Shinnik - Fakel 0:1
    04.10.2025 Fakel - Volga Ulyanovsk 2:1
    Latest results of Rotor
    28.09.2025 Shinnik - Rotor 2:0
    24.09.2025 Veles Moscow - Rotor 2:1
    20.09.2025 Ural - Rotor 0:0
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh22163330:111951
    2Ural22125530:191141
    3Rodina Moscow22109330:171339
    4S. Kostroma2298531:25635
    5Chelyabinsk2298528:20835
    6Kamaz2289537:251233
    7SKA Khabarovsk2288624:22232
    8R. Volgograd2287725:18731
    9Neftekhimik22710527:24331
    10Arsenal Tula22611530:26429
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl2268819:21-226
    12Yenisey2259815:26-1124
    13Torpedo Moscow22661019:29-1024
    14Chernomorets Novorossijsk22661025:29-424
    15Ulyanovsk22651125:35-1023
    16Ufa22481024:31-720
    17Saratov222101010:23-1316
    18FK Chayka22261419:47-2812

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
          Relegation