Result
2:0
30/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 21
- Referee: Kaplenkov I. (Rus)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Pusi B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Abdullin R. ↓, Agaev A. ↑,
- 46', Eza W. ↓, Pushkarev D. ↑,
- 46', Emelyanov D. ↓, Nosov A. ↑,
- 46', Bagamaev A. ↓, Simonov K. ↑,
- 47', Kochiev K. 🟨,
- 48', Pusi B. 🟨,
- 70', Netfullin R. ↓, Magomedov B. ↑,
- 70', Gongadze G. ↓, Uridia M. ↑,
- 79', Kochiev K. ↓, Nikitenkov A. ↑,
- 80', Pusi B. ↓, Motpan N. ↑,
- 83', Zhamaletdinov T. ↓, Zyryanov N. ↑,
- 87', Giorgobiani N. ↓, Abdokov N. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 0, Uridia M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Fakel
50.2% | Draw
31.3% | Chelyabinsk
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fakel's form might have worsened.Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fakel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Fakel - Chelyabinsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.7) |
2.99 ↓
(3.55) |
5.05 ↓
(5.73) |
7%
(4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fakel - Chelyabinsk?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Chelyabinsk (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelyabinsk (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 5).
- Fakel is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Chelyabinsk has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Fakel is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Fakel will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fakel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against Chelyabinsk?
Fakel has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chelyabinsk won against Fakel?
Chelyabinsk has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fakel - Chelyabinsk were as follows:
04.09.2025
Chelyabinsk
-
Fakel
1:1
Latest results of Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 64 |
| 2 | Rodina Moscow | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 52:27 | 25 | 62 |
| 3 | Ural | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 48:29 | 19 | 58 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 40:23 | 17 | 52 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 46:31 | 15 | 49 |
| 6 | S. Kostroma | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 45:39 | 6 | 48 |
| 7 | Yenisey | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 36:34 | 2 | 46 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 46 |
| 9 | Chelyabinsk | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 43 |
| 10 | Torpedo Moscow | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 42 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 39:37 | 2 | 38 |
| 13 | Ulyanovsk | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
| 14 | SKA Khabarovsk | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 35 |
| 15 | Ufa | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 30:69 | -39 | 22 |
| 18 | Saratov | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 14:43 | -29 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
