Result
2:1
27/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 26
- Referee: Safyan R. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (442/534) | 68% (170/250) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (442/534) | 68% (170/250) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (17/46) | 47% (30/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (132/172) | 58% (52/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.88 | -1.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Ivlev A. ⚽,
- 26', Shabanhaxhaj D. 🟨,
- 41', Kalinin I. 🟨,
- 41', Vasiljev N. ↓, Iwu U. ↑,
- 45+4', Dziov M. ↓, Gabaraev A. ↑,
- 45+5', Rozhkov I. ↓, Bezrukov R. ↑,
- 45+9', Motpan N. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', 1 - 1, Bezrukov R. ⚽, Ivanov O. (A),
- 65', Kashtanov A. ↓, Pusi B. ↑,
- 65', Brahimi M. ↓, Senhadji R. ↑,
- 79', Vada V. ↓, Taheri K. ↑,
- 79', Hodza V. ↓, Apshatsev M. ↑,
- 88', Kabutov D. 🟨,
- 89', 2 - 1, Bezrukov R. ⚽, Ivanov O. (A),
- 90+4', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,
- 90+5', Taheri K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rubin Kazan
47.5% | Draw
28.8% | Fakel
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rubin Kazan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Rubin Kazan - Fakel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↑
(1.88) |
3.33 ↓
(3.74) |
4.07 ↓
(4.66) |
4%
(1.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Rubin Kazan - Fakel?
Users Predictions:
Rubin Kazan will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Rubin won 3.
- Recent matches Rubin is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Fakel has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Rubin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Rubin is a favorite.
- There will not play in Rubin: Daku M.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Fakel: Mertens D.
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Rubin won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Rubin won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Fakel?
Rubin Kazan has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against Rubin Kazan?
Fakel has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rubin Kazan - Fakel were as follows:
01.10.2024
Rubin Kazan
-
Fakel
0:1
27.09.2024
Fakel
-
Rubin Kazan
0:0
27.08.2024
Fakel
-
Rubin Kazan
0:2
26.11.2023
Rubin Kazan
-
Fakel
1:0
25.09.2023
Fakel
-
Rubin Kazan
0:1
Latest results of Rubin Kazan
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 29:16 | 13 | 26 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:7 | 17 | 26 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22:13 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Zenit | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 24:10 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | Baltika | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 18 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 10 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 8 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 9:23 | -14 | 6 |
| 16 | Sochi | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7:28 | -21 | 5 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
