Result
2:1
27/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 26
- Referee: Safyan R. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Asia | Q Football Asia |
Belarus | Belarus 5 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.73 | 0.77 |
Ball Possession |
---|
67% | 33% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
83% (442/534) | 68% (170/250) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.73 | 0.77 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.38 | 1.88 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
83% (442/534) | 68% (170/250) |
Long passes |
---|
37% (17/46) | 47% (30/64) |
Passes in final third |
---|
77% (132/172) | 58% (52/90) |
Crosses |
---|
7% (1/14) | 25% (6/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.10 | 0.60 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
69% (11/16) | 75% (12/16) |
Duels won |
---|
60 | 59 |
Clearances |
---|
43 | 43 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.88 | 0.38 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.88 | -1.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Ivlev A. ⚽,
- 26', Shabanhaxhaj D. 🟨,
- 41', Kalinin I. 🟨,
- 41', Vasiljev N. ↓, Iwu U. ↑,
- 45+4', Dziov M. ↓, Gabaraev A. ↑,
- 45+5', Rozhkov I. ↓, Bezrukov R. ↑,
- 45+9', Motpan N. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', 1 - 1, Bezrukov R. ⚽, Ivanov O. (A),
- 65', Kashtanov A. ↓, Pusi B. ↑,
- 65', Brahimi M. ↓, Senhadji R. ↑,
- 79', Vada V. ↓, Taheri K. ↑,
- 79', Hodza V. ↓, Apshatsev M. ↑,
- 88', Kabutov D. 🟨,
- 89', 2 - 1, Bezrukov R. ⚽, Ivanov O. (A),
- 90+4', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,
- 90+5', Taheri K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rubin Kazan 47.5% | Draw 28.8% | Fakel 23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rubin Kazan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Rubin Kazan - Fakel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.02 ↑ (1.88) |
3.33 ↓ (3.74) |
4.07 ↓ (4.66) |
4% (1.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Rubin Kazan - Fakel?
Users Predictions:
Rubin Kazan will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Rubin won 3.
- Recent matches Rubin is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Fakel has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Rubin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Rubin is a favorite.
- There will not play in Rubin: Daku M.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Fakel: Mertens D.
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Rubin won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Rubin won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Fakel?
Rubin Kazan has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against Rubin Kazan?
Fakel has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rubin Kazan - Fakel were as follows:
01.10.2024
Rubin Kazan
-
Fakel
0:1
27.09.2024
Fakel
-
Rubin Kazan
0:0
27.08.2024
Fakel
-
Rubin Kazan
0:2
26.11.2023
Rubin Kazan
-
Fakel
1:0
25.09.2023
Fakel
-
Rubin Kazan
0:1
Latest results of Rubin Kazan
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Krasnodar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Rubin Kazan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Zenit | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Baltika | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
7 | Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
8 | Krylya Sovetov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Akron Togliatti | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Orenburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
12 | FK Rostov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
15 | Pari NN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
16 | Sochi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL