Result
1:3
08/04/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 27
- Referee: Costa R. (Por)
Chances of winning
Paços de Ferreira
34% | Draw
31.1% | Famalicão
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)The ML Model estimate for Paços de Ferreira aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Paços de Ferreira - Famalicão Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↑
(2.67) |
3.03 ↓
(3.08) |
2.7 ↑
(2.62) |
6%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Paços de Ferreira - Famalicão?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Famalicão will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.2% – 83%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 9).
- Paços de Ferreira has the most likely position - 17 (56.06%), project points - 24, currently - 17, a good chance of relegated (86%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Famalicão has the most likely position - 11 (16.98%), project points - 43, currently - 33, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 44, small importance 14, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 2.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Paços de Ferreira: Delgado J.
(Yellow Cards)
Marafona
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Famalicão: Fonseca T.
(Injury)
Puma
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Famalicão: Mihaj E.
(Injury)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-14.
- Including matches at home between the teams Paços de Ferreira won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Famalicão?
Paços de Ferreira has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Paços de Ferreira?
Famalicão has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paços de Ferreira - Famalicão were as follows:
22.10.2022
Famalicão
-
Paços de Ferreira
2:1
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Latest results of Famalicão
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
