Result
1:0
15/02/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 22
- Referee: Silva D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
 Denmark | Bold+, Sport Live |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5, Arena Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (524/589) | 75% (194/258) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (524/589) | 75% (194/258) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (25/38) | 40% (17/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (166/204) | 44% (19/43) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (9/30) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.98 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+4', Goncalves P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Santos P. 🟨,
- 62', Mangas R. ↓, Catamo G. ↑,
- 64', Santos P. ↓, Pastor G. ↑,
- 64', Gil Dias ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
- 76', Fresneda I. ↓, Nel R. ↑,
- 76', Morita H. ↓, Braganca D. ↑,
- 77', Elisor S. ↓, Almeida R. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 0, Braganca D. ⚽, Trincao (A),
- 86', Luis Guilherme ↓, Vagiannidis G. ↑,
- 86', Goncalves P. ↓, Simoes J. ↑,
- 86', Sa G. ↓, Pena M. ↑,
- 86', Sorriso ↓, Beney R. ↑,
- 90', Pastor G. 🟨,
- 90', Araujo M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Vagiannidis G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sporting Lisbon
71.9% | Draw
18.3% | Famalicão
9.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Sporting Lisbon - Famalicão Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.37) |
5.23 ↑
(5) |
9.63 ↑
(7.87) |
5.5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Famalicão?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 24 - 96%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 88.3% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Sporting (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Famalicão (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting Lisbon will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting (votes: 6 - 75%). Famalicão (votes: 2 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 5.
- Sporting has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Famalicão has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sporting is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Sporting: Debast Z.
(Injury)
Ioannidis F.
(Knee Injury)
Quenda G.
(Foot Injury)
Suarez L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Famalicão: Aranda O.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Famalicão: Beney R.
(Inactive)
Pinheiro R.
(Inactive)
Rochinha
(Inactive)
- We predict that Sporting will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:14. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Famalicão?
Sporting Lisbon has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Sporting Lisbon?
Famalicão has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Famalicão were as follows:
13.09.2025
Famalicão
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:2
15.03.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Famalicão
3:1
26.10.2024
Famalicão
-
Sporting Lisbon
0:3
16.04.2024
Famalicão
-
Sporting Lisbon
0:1
27.08.2023
Sporting Lisbon
-
Famalicão
1:0
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Latest results of Famalicão
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
