Result
1:0
15/02/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 22
- Referee: Silva D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
 Denmark | Bold+, Sport Live |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5, Arena Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (524/589) | 75% (194/258) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (524/589) | 75% (194/258) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (25/38) | 40% (17/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (166/204) | 44% (19/43) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (9/30) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.98 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+4', Goncalves P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Santos P. 🟨,
- 62', Mangas R. ↓, Catamo G. ↑,
- 64', Santos P. ↓, Pastor G. ↑,
- 64', Gil Dias ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
- 76', Fresneda I. ↓, Nel R. ↑,
- 76', Morita H. ↓, Braganca D. ↑,
- 77', Elisor S. ↓, Almeida R. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 0, Braganca D. ⚽, Trincao (A),
- 86', Luis Guilherme ↓, Vagiannidis G. ↑,
- 86', Goncalves P. ↓, Simoes J. ↑,
- 86', Sa G. ↓, Pena M. ↑,
- 86', Sorriso ↓, Beney R. ↑,
- 90', Pastor G. 🟨,
- 90', Araujo M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Vagiannidis G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sporting Lisbon
71.9% | Draw
18.3% | Famalicão
9.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Sporting Lisbon - Famalicão Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.37) |
5.23 ↑
(5) |
9.63 ↑
(7.87) |
5.5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Famalicão?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 24 - 96%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 88.3% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Sporting (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Famalicão (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sporting Lisbon will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 6 - 75%). Famalicão (votes: 2 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 5.
- Sporting has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Famalicão has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sporting is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Sporting: Debast Z.
(Injury)
Ioannidis F.
(Knee Injury)
Quenda G.
(Foot Injury)
Suarez L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Famalicão: Aranda O.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Famalicão: Beney R.
(Inactive)
Pinheiro R.
(Inactive)
Rochinha
(Inactive)
- We predict that Sporting will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:14. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Famalicão?
Sporting Lisbon has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Sporting Lisbon?
Famalicão has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Famalicão were as follows:
13.09.2025
Famalicão
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:2
15.03.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Famalicão
3:1
26.10.2024
Famalicão
-
Sporting Lisbon
0:3
16.04.2024
Famalicão
-
Sporting Lisbon
0:1
27.08.2023
Sporting Lisbon
-
Famalicão
1:0
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Latest results of Famalicão
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
