Chaves vs Farense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Chaves - Farense
Result
1:1
04/02/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 20
  • Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV2

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chaves
40.1%
Draw
28.4%
Farense
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 28.9% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 28.8% 37.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chaves's performance.
  • Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Farense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chaves that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Farense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chaves - Farense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (2.8)
    3.32
    (3.25)
    2.99
    (2.5)
    5.9%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Chaves - Farense?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Chaves will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Farense will win (votes: 8 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Farense: 25.5%74.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Chaves won 2.
    • Chaves is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Farense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Chaves could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Chaves will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Chaves won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Chaves won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chaves - Farense were as follows:
    26.08.2023 Farense - Chaves 5:0
    Latest results of Chaves
    31.01.2024 Braga - Chaves 1:1
    21.01.2024 Chaves - Rio Ave 0:0
    13.01.2024 Chaves - Sporting Lisbon 0:3
    07.01.2024 Famalicão - Chaves 2:2
    29.12.2023 Porto - Chaves 1:0
    Latest results of Farense
    28.01.2024 Farense - Porto 1:3
    20.01.2024 Casa Pia - Farense 1:3
    12.01.2024 Portimonense - Farense 1:0
    06.01.2024 Farense - Gil Vicente 1:0
    30.12.2023 Estoril Praia - Farense 4:0
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

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