Result
1:1
04/02/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 20
- Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Chances of winning
Chaves
40.1% | Draw
28.4% | Farense
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chaves's performance.Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Farense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chaves that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Farense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chaves - Farense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↓
(2.8) |
3.32 ↑
(3.25) |
2.99 ↑
(2.5) |
5.9%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Chaves - Farense?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Chaves will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Farense will win (votes: 8 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Farense: 25.5% – 74.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Chaves won 2.
- Chaves is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Farense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Chaves could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Chaves will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Chaves won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-14.
- Including matches at home between the teams Chaves won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Chaves won against Farense?
Chaves has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Chaves?
Farense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chaves - Farense were as follows:
26.08.2023
Farense
-
Chaves
5:0
Latest results of Farense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | Moreirense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Arouca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 8 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Tondela | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
