Result
4:2
25/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League South - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, Sandah H. ⚽,
- 23', 1 - 1, Taylor L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 33', 2 - 1, Senior C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', 3 - 1, Senior C. ⚽,
- 68', 4 - 1, Sandah H. ⚽,
- 90+4', 4 - 2, Barham J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Farnborough 28.1% | Draw 25.6% | Chelmsford City 46.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Farnborough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Farnborough's form might have worsened.Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chelmsford City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Farnborough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelmsford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Farnborough - Chelmsford City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.29 ↑ (2.6) |
3.62 ↑ (3.36) |
1.99 ↓ (2.38) |
8.2% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Farnborough - Chelmsford City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Chelmsford City will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Farnborough won 2.
- Farnborough is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Chelmsford's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Farnborough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Farnborough won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.7:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Farnborough won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Farnborough won against Chelmsford City?
Farnborough has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chelmsford City won against Farnborough?
Chelmsford City has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Farnborough - Chelmsford City were as follows:
01.09.2025
Chelmsford City
-
Farnborough
2:5
08.02.2025
Farnborough
-
Chelmsford City
3:4
19.10.2024
Chelmsford City
-
Farnborough
1:2
27.02.2024
Farnborough
-
Chelmsford City
1:1
05.08.2023
Chelmsford City
-
Farnborough
1:0
Latest results of Farnborough
Latest results of Chelmsford City
English National League South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Worthing | 44 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 96:50 | 46 | 81 |
| 2 | Dorking | 44 | 23 | 9 | 12 | 76:57 | 19 | 78 |
| 3 | Torquay | 44 | 23 | 8 | 13 | 84:59 | 25 | 77 |
| 4 | Hornchurch | 43 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 75:60 | 15 | 76 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 44 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 75 |
| 6 | Ebbsfleet | 44 | 21 | 11 | 12 | 69:52 | 17 | 74 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 44 | 21 | 10 | 13 | 65:41 | 24 | 73 |
| 8 | Weston-super-Mare | 43 | 22 | 7 | 14 | 59:47 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Maidstone | 44 | 20 | 11 | 13 | 67:47 | 20 | 71 |
| 10 | Chesham | 44 | 21 | 8 | 15 | 66:51 | 15 | 71 |
| 11 | Chelmsford | 43 | 20 | 9 | 14 | 67:56 | 11 | 69 |
| 12 | Dag & Red | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 59:59 | 0 | 63 |
| 13 | AFC Totton | 43 | 18 | 6 | 19 | 54:70 | -16 | 60 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 59:62 | -3 | 57 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 43 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 49:49 | 0 | 56 |
| 16 | Slough | 44 | 14 | 9 | 21 | 64:80 | -16 | 51 |
| 17 | Hampton & Richmond | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 55:68 | -13 | 50 |
| 18 | Farnborough | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 65:85 | -20 | 50 |
| 19 | Dover | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 58:72 | -14 | 49 |
| 20 | Salisbury | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 47:63 | -16 | 49 |
| 21 | Chippenham ✔ | 44 | 11 | 9 | 24 | 50:74 | -24 | 42 |
| 22 | Bath | 43 | 9 | 13 | 21 | 44:71 | -27 | 40 |
| 23 | Enfield Town ✔ | 44 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 50:79 | -29 | 37 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Boro ✔ | 44 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 54:86 | -32 | 33 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Chippenham is Relegated to
Enfield Town is Relegated to
Eastbourne Boro is Relegated to