HJK vs Farul Constanța – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
31/08/2023 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL
  • Referee: Gishamer S. (Aut)

Chances of winning


HJK
45.1%
Draw
27.2%
Farul Constanța
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 27.2% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9% 26.9% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HJK's performance.
  • Farul Constanța has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Farul Constanța might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HJK that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farul Constanța than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Farul Constanța could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • HJK - Farul Constanța Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.7)
    3.49
    (3.4)
    3.4
    (2.4)
    5.6%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for HJK - Farul Constanța?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Farul will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 29.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Farul: 25.9%65.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • Recent matches HJK is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Farul is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Farul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently HJK have a series of guest games.
    • HJK will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches HJK won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HJK - Farul Constanța were as follows:
    24.08.2023 Farul Constanța - HJK 2:1
    Latest results of HJK
    27.08.2023 Oulu - HJK 1:3
    24.08.2023 Farul Constanța - HJK 2:1
    20.08.2023 Inter Turku - HJK 1:3
    17.08.2023 HJK - Qarabağ Agdam 1:2
    10.08.2023 Qarabağ Agdam - HJK 2:1
    Latest results of Farul Constanța
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    3Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    5Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    6Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    8Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    9Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    10Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    11AEK Athens (3)Bye
    12Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    13Mainz (7)Bye
    14AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    15Strasbourg (1)Bye
    16Rakow (2)Bye