Result
3:1
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
Chances of winning
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
28.4% | Draw
33.1% | Fasil Kenema
38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ethiopia Nigd Bank has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Fasil Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Fasil Kenema Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.23 ↑
(3.18) |
2.78 ↓
(2.8) |
2.38 ↓
(2.41) |
9%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Nigd Bank won 2.
- Ethiopia Nigd Bank has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Fasil Kenema has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ethiopia Nigd Bank may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Fasil Kenema could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Nigd Bank won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopia Nigd Bank won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ethiopia Nigd Bank won against Fasil Kenema?
Ethiopia Nigd Bank has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fasil Kenema won against Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Fasil Kenema has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Fasil Kenema were as follows:
19.10.2025
Fasil Kenema
-
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1:1
18.05.2025
Fasil Kenema
-
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1:1
24.10.2024
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
-
Fasil Kenema
1:1
25.05.2024
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
-
Fasil Kenema
1:0
16.02.2024
Fasil Kenema
-
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2:4
Latest results of Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Latest results of Fasil Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:17 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 26:19 | 7 | 43 |
| 3 | Hawassa | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Mechal | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 40 |
| 5 | Fasil Kenema | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Ethio Electric | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 20:15 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Ethiopia Bunna | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 35 |
| 9 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 35:32 | 3 | 34 |
| 10 | Adama City | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 24:27 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Sheger Ketema | 27 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 32 |
| 12 | St. George | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 22:24 | -2 | 32 |
| 13 | Hadiya Hossana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 22:27 | -5 | 32 |
| 14 | Dire Dawa | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Welayta Dicha | 26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 31 |
| 16 | Ethiopian Insurance | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:20 | 0 | 29 |
| 17 | Welwalo Adigrat | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 20:28 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Shire Endaselassie | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 17:21 | -4 | 28 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 17:30 | -13 | 26 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 20:33 | -13 | 23 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
