Result
1:0
20/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 10
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 66', 1 - 0, Birhanu Y. ⚽,
- 77', Eboussi P. 🟥,
- 79', Debebe M. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Fasil Kenema
35.8% | Draw
35.1% | Negele Arsi Ketema
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fasil Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Negele Arsi Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (-2%)
Fasil Kenema - Negele Arsi Ketema Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.44) |
2.58 ↓
(2.69) |
3.13 ↓
(3.28) |
10.2%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 9).
- Fasil Kenema has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Negele Arsi Ketema is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Fasil Kenema won against Negele Arsi Ketema?
Fasil Kenema has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Negele Arsi Ketema won against Fasil Kenema?
Negele Arsi Ketema has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fasil Kenema - Negele Arsi Ketema were as follows:
Latest results of Fasil Kenema
Latest results of Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:17 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 26:19 | 7 | 43 |
| 3 | Hawassa | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Mechal | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 40 |
| 5 | Fasil Kenema | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Ethio Electric | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 20:15 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Ethiopia Bunna | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 35 |
| 9 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 35:32 | 3 | 34 |
| 10 | Adama City | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 24:27 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Sheger Ketema | 27 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 32 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 22:27 | -5 | 32 |
| 13 | Dire Dawa | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Welayta Dicha | 26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 31 |
| 15 | St. George | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 31 |
| 16 | Ethiopian Insurance | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:20 | 0 | 29 |
| 17 | Welwalo Adigrat | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 29 |
| 18 | Shire Endaselassie | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 17:21 | -4 | 28 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 15:29 | -14 | 23 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 18:31 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
