Fatih Karagümrükspor vs Galatasaray – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
24/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 19
  • Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Digiturk
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.521.40
Ball possession
36%64%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
34
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
26
Passes
80% (277/347)90% (558/617)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
0.521.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.742.04
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
510
Shots outside the box
51
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1420
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
71
Free kicks
138
Passes
80% (277/347)90% (558/617)
Long passes
49% (24/49)50% (20/40)
Passes in final third
71% (77/109)82% (133/163)
Crosses
10% (1/10)36% (10/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.350.82
Throw ins
2316
Fouls
813
Tackles
85% (11/13)58% (14/24)
Duels won
3943
Clearances
2122
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
2.040.74
Goals prevented
-0.96-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Gabriel Sara , Gundogan I. (A),
  • 23', Jakobs I. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Kalayci B. , Serginho (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Torreira L. , Lemina M. ,
  • 50', 1 - 2, Gabriel Sara , Sallai R. (A),
  • 55', 1 - 3, Osimhen V. , Gundogan I. (A),
  • 64', Doh M. , Elmaz B. ,
  • 64', Serginho , Cukur T. ,
  • 64', Akgun Y. , Elmali E. ,
  • 64', Jakobs I. , Karatas K. ,
  • 68', Yilmaz B. A. 🟨,
  • 70', Sallai R. , Icardi M. ,
  • 77', Larsson S. , Kone ,
  • 79', Osimhen V. , Ayhan K. ,
  • 85', Kalayci B. , Kalpakli T. ,

Chances of winning


Fatih Karagümrükspor
9.6%
Draw
14.6%
Galatasaray
75.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.8% 16.7% 71.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2% 15.8% 75.5%

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Galatasaray Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
10
(7.9)
6.54
(5.57)
1.24
(1.31)
5.7%
(7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Galatasaray?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Galatasaray will win (votes: 16 - 84.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 67.8%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.75, 1st Half - Galatasaray (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 11 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Karagümrük (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Galatasaray (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 1.
    • Karagümrük is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Galatasaray has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Galatasaray may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Galatasaray has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Galatasaray is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Karagümrük: Kranevitter M. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Galatasaray: Baltaci M. (Suspended) Singo W. (Muscle Injury) Unyay A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Karagümrük: Camacho J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Galatasaray: Torreira L. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Galatasaray were as follows:
    15.08.2025 Galatasaray - Fatih Karagümrükspor 3:0
    12.05.2024 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Galatasaray 2:3
    29.02.2024 Galatasaray - Fatih Karagümrükspor 0:2
    20.12.2023 Galatasaray - Fatih Karagümrükspor 1:0
    23.04.2023 Galatasaray - Fatih Karagümrükspor 3:3
    Latest results of Galatasaray
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray21164150:143652
    2Fenerbahce21147048:183049
    3Trabzonspor21136241:231845
    4Goztepe21117327:121540
    5Besiktas21107437:271037
    6Basaksehir2196636:221433
    7Samsunspor2179524:24030
    8Gaziantep2177729:35-628
    9Kocaelispor2176818:22-427
    10Alanyaspor21411622:24-223
    11Genclerbirligi21641126:31-522
    12Konyaspor2148924:33-920
    13Rizespor2148924:33-920
    14Antalyaspor21551119:34-1520
    15Eyupspor21461117:30-1318
    16Kasimpasa21371116:29-1316
    17Kayserispor21291017:43-2615
    18Karagumruk21331518:39-2112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig