Result
1:3
24/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 19
- Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Singapore | beIN Sport 1 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Digiturk |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.40 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (277/347) | 90% (558/617) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (277/347) | 90% (558/617) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (24/49) | 50% (20/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (77/109) | 82% (133/163) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 36% (10/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.82 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 58% (14/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.96 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Gabriel Sara ⚽, Gundogan I. (A),
- 23', Jakobs I. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 1, Kalayci B. ⚽, Serginho (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Torreira L. ↓, Lemina M. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 2, Gabriel Sara ⚽, Sallai R. (A),
- 55', 1 - 3, Osimhen V. ⚽, Gundogan I. (A),
- 64', Doh M. ↓, Elmaz B. ↑,
- 64', Serginho ↓, Cukur T. ↑,
- 64', Akgun Y. ↓, Elmali E. ↑,
- 64', Jakobs I. ↓, Karatas K. ↑,
- 68', Yilmaz B. A. 🟨,
- 70', Sallai R. ↓, Icardi M. ↑,
- 77', Larsson S. ↓, Kone ↑,
- 79', Osimhen V. ↓, Ayhan K. ↑,
- 85', Kalayci B. ↓, Kalpakli T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fatih Karagümrükspor
9.6% | Draw
14.6% | Galatasaray
75.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Galatasaray Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10 ↑
(7.9) |
6.54 ↑
(5.57) |
1.24 ↓
(1.31) |
5.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Galatasaray?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Galatasaray will win (votes: 16 - 84.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 67.8% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75, 1st Half - Galatasaray (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 11 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Karagümrük (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Galatasaray (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 1.
- Karagümrük is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Galatasaray has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Galatasaray may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Galatasaray has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Galatasaray is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Karagümrük: Kranevitter M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Galatasaray: Baltaci M.
(Suspended)
Singo W.
(Muscle Injury)
Unyay A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Karagümrük: Camacho J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Galatasaray: Torreira L.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Galatasaray?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Galatasaray won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Galatasaray has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Galatasaray were as follows:
15.08.2025
Galatasaray
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
3:0
12.05.2024
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Galatasaray
2:3
29.02.2024
Galatasaray
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
0:2
20.12.2023
Galatasaray
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
1:0
23.04.2023
Galatasaray
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
3:3
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Latest results of Galatasaray
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 58:18 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 24 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 54:23 | 31 | 54 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48:28 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:26 | 16 | 39 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 30:40 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Genclerbirligi | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Antalyaspor | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 24 |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Kasimpasa | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 20 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 18:43 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 21:45 | -24 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
