Sakaryaspor vs Fatih Karagümrükspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League Sakaryaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor
Result
1:3
02/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 27
  • Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.481.61
Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
514
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
27
Blocked Shots
02
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
24
Shots inside the Box
311
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Free Kicks
1619
Offsides
10
Fouls
1916
Yellow Cards
33
Throw-ins
2617
Touches in the Opposition Box
1119
Passes
70% (252/359)75% (283/379)
Passes in the final third
60% (69/115)58% (61/105)
Crosses
42% (5/12)50% (5/10)
Tackles
60% (12/20)80% (20/25)
Clearances Total
2730
Interceptions
1114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 0, Mamadou M. , Coban B. (A),
  • 31', Serginho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 60', 1 - 1, Wesley Moraes , Gurpuz G. (A),
  • 61', Kakuta G. , Simon N. ,
  • 63', Uzun B. 🟨,
  • 70', Demirtas K. 🟨,
  • 71', Sismanoglu O. , Demir E. ,
  • 71', Aabid R. , Kabov A. ,
  • 71', 1 - 2, Cankaya A. R. ,
  • 79', Demirtas K. , Capar O. ,
  • 79', Capar O. 🟨,
  • 83', Serginho , Dovedan N. ,
  • 83', Gurpuz G. , Mert M. ,
  • 90+1', Djilobodji P. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Camacho J. , Sivri A. ,
  • 90+5', Johnson D. , Kalayci B. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 3, Wesley Moraes , Sivri A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sakaryaspor
35.2%
Draw
30.2%
Fatih Karagümrükspor
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 28.5% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 28% 33.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Sakaryaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.47)
    3.03
    (3.25)
    2.64
    (2.72)
    9.5%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).
    • Sakaryaspor is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recent matches Karagümrük is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Karagümrük could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Sakaryaspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.8:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sakaryaspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sakaryaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Sakaryaspor 4:0
    Latest results of Sakaryaspor
    23.02.2025 Umraniyespor - Sakaryaspor 0:0
    17.02.2025 Sakaryaspor - Ankaragücü 2:2
    08.02.2025 Sakaryaspor - Çorum 2:1
    02.02.2025 Amed SK - Sakaryaspor 2:2
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erokspor961227:111619
    2Corum953115:8718
    3Bodrumspor852119:81117
    4Pendikspor843115:8715
    5Erzurumspor835015:8714
    6Igdir FK842214:11314
    7Amedspor841319:13613
    8Boluspor933315:13212
    9Vanspor FK83328:6212
    10Serik Spor83328:12-412
    11Bandirmaspor832312:10211
    12Istanbulspor AS825110:9111
    13Keciorengucu82429:8110
    14Sivasspor823310:919
    15Sakaryaspor823310:16-69
    16Manisa FK922513:19-68
    17Umraniyespor82245:11-68
    18Sariyer81166:12-64
    19Hatayspor80359:20-113
    20Adana Demirspor80174:31-27-17

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation