Result
1:3
02/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 27
- Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (252/359) | 75% (283/379) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 60% (69/115) | 58% (61/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 50% (5/10) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 80% (20/25) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 27 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Mamadou M. ⚽, Coban B. (A),
- 31', Serginho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 60', 1 - 1, Wesley Moraes ⚽, Gurpuz G. (A),
- 61', Kakuta G. ↓, Simon N. ↑,
- 63', Uzun B. 🟨,
- 70', Demirtas K. 🟨,
- 71', Sismanoglu O. ↓, Demir E. ↑,
- 71', Aabid R. ↓, Kabov A. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Cankaya A. R. ⚽,
- 79', Demirtas K. ↓, Capar O. ↑,
- 79', Capar O. 🟨,
- 83', Serginho ↓, Dovedan N. ↑,
- 83', Gurpuz G. ↓, Mert M. ↑,
- 90+1', Djilobodji P. 🟨,
- 90+5', Camacho J. ↓, Sivri A. ↑,
- 90+5', Johnson D. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 3, Wesley Moraes ⚽, Sivri A. (A),
Chances of winning
Sakaryaspor
35.2% | Draw
30.2% | Fatih Karagümrükspor
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Sakaryaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↑
(2.47) |
3.03 ↓
(3.25) |
2.64 ↓
(2.72) |
9.5%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).
- Sakaryaspor is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recent matches Karagümrük is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Karagümrük could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Sakaryaspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Sakaryaspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Sakaryaspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Sakaryaspor?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sakaryaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:
05.10.2024
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Sakaryaspor
4:0
Latest results of Sakaryaspor
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodrumspor | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25:9 | 16 | 21 |
| 2 | Corum | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 20 |
| 4 | Amedspor | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Pendikspor | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Erzurumspor | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 19:10 | 9 | 19 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Vanspor FK | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 11 | Sakaryaspor | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Boluspor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 13 |
| 13 | Serik Spor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Keciorengucu | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Manisa FK | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Umraniyespor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 8 |
| 18 | Sariyer | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11:30 | -19 | 4 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4:40 | -36 | -17 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
