Sakaryaspor vs Fatih Karagümrükspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League Sakaryaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor
Result
1:3
02/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 27
  • Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.481.61
Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
514
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
27
Blocked Shots
02
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
24
Shots inside the Box
311
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Free Kicks
1619
Offsides
10
Fouls
1916
Yellow Cards
33
Throw-ins
2617
Touches in the Opposition Box
1119
Passes
70% (252/359)75% (283/379)
Passes in the final third
60% (69/115)58% (61/105)
Crosses
42% (5/12)50% (5/10)
Tackles
60% (12/20)80% (20/25)
Clearances Total
2730
Interceptions
1114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 0, Mamadou M. , Coban B. (A),
  • 31', Serginho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 60', 1 - 1, Wesley Moraes , Gurpuz G. (A),
  • 61', Kakuta G. , Simon N. ,
  • 63', Uzun B. 🟨,
  • 70', Demirtas K. 🟨,
  • 71', Sismanoglu O. , Demir E. ,
  • 71', Aabid R. , Kabov A. ,
  • 71', 1 - 2, Cankaya A. R. ,
  • 79', Demirtas K. , Capar O. ,
  • 79', Capar O. 🟨,
  • 83', Serginho , Dovedan N. ,
  • 83', Gurpuz G. , Mert M. ,
  • 90+1', Djilobodji P. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Camacho J. , Sivri A. ,
  • 90+5', Johnson D. , Kalayci B. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 3, Wesley Moraes , Sivri A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sakaryaspor
35.2%
Draw
30.2%
Fatih Karagümrükspor
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 28.5% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 28% 33.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Sakaryaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.47)
    3.03
    (3.25)
    2.64
    (2.72)
    9.5%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).
    • Sakaryaspor is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recent matches Karagümrük is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Karagümrük could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Sakaryaspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.8:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sakaryaspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sakaryaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Sakaryaspor 4:0
    Latest results of Sakaryaspor
    23.02.2025 Umraniyespor - Sakaryaspor 0:0
    17.02.2025 Sakaryaspor - Ankaragücü 2:2
    08.02.2025 Sakaryaspor - Çorum 2:1
    02.02.2025 Amed SK - Sakaryaspor 2:2
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corum33007:169
    2Vanspor FK22004:226
    3Erokspor31117:344
    4Bandirmaspor31115:324
    5Erzurumspor21104:224
    6Pendikspor21103:124
    7Keciorengucu21103:124
    8Sakaryaspor21104:314
    9Serik Spor31111:5-44
    10Igdir FK21014:403
    11Manisa FK21013:303
    12Umraniyespor21012:203
    13Bodrumspor20202:202
    14Istanbulspor AS20200:002
    15Boluspor20113:4-11
    16Sariyer30123:5-21
    17Amedspor20112:4-21
    18Sivasspor20111:3-21
    19Hatayspor20022:5-30
    20Adana Demirspor30122:9-7-5

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation