Fatih Karagümrükspor vs Trabzonspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4
27/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 7
  • Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 6 South
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.77
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1322
Shots on target
311
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
71% (249/352)83% (364/439)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.273.05
Total shots
1322
Shots on target
311
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
914
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1930
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1318
Passes
71% (249/352)83% (364/439)
Long passes
44% (18/41)46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
57% (54/94)65% (67/103)
Crosses
60% (6/10)41% (7/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.071.52
Throw-ins
1824
Fouls
1813
Tackles
37% (7/19)40% (4/10)
Duels won
4756
Clearances
2013
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
70
xGOT faced
3.051.27
Goals prevented
-0.95-1.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Felipe Augusto , Pina W. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 1, Cukur T. , Larsson S. (A),
  • 35', 1 - 2, Onuachu P. , Pina W. (A),
  • 45+3', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
  • 45+8', Balkovec J. 🟨,
  • 45+8', 1 - 3, Onuachu P. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Esgaio R. , Kadioglu M. ,
  • 46', Camacho J. , Kalpakli T. ,
  • 53', Savic S. 🟨,
  • 64', Olaigbe K. , Sikan D. ,
  • 66', Gray A. , Fofana D. D. ,
  • 74', Johnson D. 🟨,
  • 80', Doh M. , Ozcan B. ,
  • 80', Zubkov O. , Visca E. ,
  • 80', Felipe Augusto , Muci E. ,
  • 88', Ugrekhelidze N. , Sivri A. ,
  • 88', 1 - 4, Sikan D. , Jabol-Folcarelli T. (A),
  • 90', Pina W. , Baskan B. ,
  • 90', Onuachu P. , Malkocoglu S. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 4, Fofana D. D. , Ozcan B. (A),
  • 90+2', 3 - 4, Fofana D. D. ,
  • 90+4', Kadioglu M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fatih Karagümrükspor
19.7%
Draw
27.1%
Trabzonspor
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.8% 25.4% 49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8% 25.5% 49.7%

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Trabzonspor Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
5.63
(3.86)
3.84
(3.76)
1.9
(1.92)
-3.5%
(4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Trabzonspor?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Trabzonspor (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Trabzonspor (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Trabzonspor (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Trabzonspor (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Trabzonspor (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Trabzonspor will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.02%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Trabzonspor will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Trabzonspor (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 0.
    • Karagümrük is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Trabzonspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Trabzonspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Trabzonspor is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Trabzonspor: Bouchouari B. (Inactive) Nwakaeme A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Karagümrük: Sivri A. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:24. (average 1:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Trabzonspor were as follows:
    08.05.2024 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Trabzonspor 0:4
    24.04.2024 Trabzonspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 3:2
    09.03.2024 Trabzonspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 5:1
    29.10.2023 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Trabzonspor 0:0
    22.05.2023 Trabzonspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 4:1
    Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
    Latest results of Trabzonspor
    20.09.2025 Trabzonspor - Gaziantep 1:1
    14.09.2025 Fenerbahçe - Trabzonspor 1:0
    31.08.2025 Trabzonspor - Samsunspor 1:1
    24.08.2025 Trabzonspor - Antalyaspor 1:0
    18.08.2025 Kasımpaşa - Trabzonspor 0:1
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray21164150:143652
    2Fenerbahce21147048:183049
    3Trabzonspor21136241:231845
    4Goztepe21117327:121540
    5Besiktas21107437:271037
    6Basaksehir2196636:221433
    7Samsunspor2179524:24030
    8Gaziantep2177729:35-628
    9Kocaelispor2176818:22-427
    10Alanyaspor21411622:24-223
    11Genclerbirligi21641126:31-522
    12Konyaspor2148924:33-920
    13Rizespor2148924:33-920
    14Antalyaspor21551119:34-1520
    15Eyupspor21461117:30-1318
    16Kasimpasa21371116:29-1316
    17Kayserispor21291017:43-2615
    18Karagumruk21331518:39-2112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig