Result
3:4
27/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 7
- Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 South-america | ESPN 6 South |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (249/352) | 83% (364/439) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 3.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (249/352) | 83% (364/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (18/41) | 46% (23/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (54/94) | 65% (67/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 41% (7/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 40% (4/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.05 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.95 | -1.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 19', 0 - 1, Felipe Augusto ⚽, Pina W. (A),
- 28', 1 - 1, Cukur T. ⚽, Larsson S. (A),
- 35', 1 - 2, Onuachu P. ⚽, Pina W. (A),
- 45+3', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
- 45+8', Balkovec J. 🟨,
- 45+8', 1 - 3, Onuachu P. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Esgaio R. ↓, Kadioglu M. ↑,
- 46', Camacho J. ↓, Kalpakli T. ↑,
- 53', Savic S. 🟨,
- 64', Olaigbe K. ↓, Sikan D. ↑,
- 66', Gray A. ↓, Fofana D. D. ↑,
- 74', Johnson D. 🟨,
- 80', Doh M. ↓, Ozcan B. ↑,
- 80', Zubkov O. ↓, Visca E. ↑,
- 80', Felipe Augusto ↓, Muci E. ↑,
- 88', Ugrekhelidze N. ↓, Sivri A. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 4, Sikan D. ⚽, Jabol-Folcarelli T. (A),
- 90', Pina W. ↓, Baskan B. ↑,
- 90', Onuachu P. ↓, Malkocoglu S. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 4, Fofana D. D. ⚽, Ozcan B. (A),
- 90+2', 3 - 4, Fofana D. D. ⚽,
- 90+4', Kadioglu M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fatih Karagümrükspor
19.7% | Draw
27.1% | Trabzonspor
53.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fatih Karagümrükspor's form might have worsened.Trabzonspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fatih Karagümrükspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Trabzonspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.63 ↑
(3.86) |
3.84 ↑
(3.76) |
1.9 ↓
(1.92) |
-3.5%
(4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Trabzonspor?
Users Predictions:
Trabzonspor will win
(19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Trabzonspor will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 0.
- Karagümrük is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Trabzonspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Trabzonspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Trabzonspor is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Trabzonspor: Bouchouari B.
(Inactive)
Nwakaeme A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Karagümrük: Sivri A.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:24. (average 1:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Trabzonspor?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trabzonspor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Trabzonspor has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Trabzonspor were as follows:
08.05.2024
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Trabzonspor
0:4
24.04.2024
Trabzonspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
3:2
09.03.2024
Trabzonspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
5:1
29.10.2023
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Trabzonspor
0:0
22.05.2023
Trabzonspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
4:1
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Latest results of Trabzonspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20:3 | 17 | 22 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Goztepe | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Besiktas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Samsunspor | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Gaziantep | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Konyaspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Alanyaspor | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Antalyaspor | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Kasimpasa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Rizespor | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Basaksehir | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Kocaelispor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 |
| 16 | Eyupspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5:17 | -12 | 5 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7:16 | -9 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
