Result
3:1
27/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 24
- Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Albania | SuperSport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Hong-kong | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Vidio |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Singapore | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Turkey | beIN Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (655/731) | 85% (358/421) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.31 | 1.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (655/731) | 85% (358/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (35/65) | 54% (28/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (89/125) | 80% (110/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.35 | 3.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 1 - 0, Onuachu P. ⚽, Tufan O. (A),
- 21', Biraschi D. ↓, Cinar A. ↑,
- 28', 1 - 1, Verde D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Kranevitter M. ↓, Ozcan B. ↑,
- 46', Bouchouari B. ↓, Yokuslu O. ↑,
- 46', Felipe Augusto ↓, Zubkov O. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 1, Nwaiwu C. ⚽, Tufan O. (A),
- 50', 3 - 1, Nwaiwu C. ⚽, Onuachu P. (A),
- 63', Larsson S. ↓, Cukur T. ↑,
- 73', Eskihellac M. ↓, Nwakaeme A. ↑,
- 73', Nwaiwu C. ↓, Lovik M. ↑,
- 76', Babicka S. ↓, Ahmed T. ↑,
- 76', Serginho ↓, Kurukalip C. ↑,
- 87', Cinar A. 🟨,
- 88', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Pina W. ↑,
- 90+2', Tufan O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Trabzonspor
64.6% | Draw
21.1% | Fatih Karagümrükspor
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trabzonspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Trabzonspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↑
(1.38) |
4.47 ↓
(5.19) |
6.7 ↓
(7.86) |
6%
(4.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Trabzonspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Trabzonspor will win (votes: 24 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trabzonspor: 100% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Trabzonspor (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.25 - Karagümrük (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Trabzonspor will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Trabzonspor (votes: 9 - 90%). Karagümrük (votes: 1 - 10%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trabzonspor won 4.
- Trabzonspor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Karagümrük has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Trabzonspor is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Trabzonspor: Visca E.
(Foot Injury)
Zubkov O.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Karagümrük: Kalayci B.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Trabzonspor: Jabol-Folcarelli T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Karagümrük: Camacho J.
(Inactive)
Johnson D.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Trabzonspor won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:13. (average 2.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Trabzonspor won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Trabzonspor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Trabzonspor has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Trabzonspor?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trabzonspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:
27.09.2025
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Trabzonspor
3:4
08.05.2024
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Trabzonspor
0:4
24.04.2024
Trabzonspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
3:2
09.03.2024
Trabzonspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
5:1
29.10.2023
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Trabzonspor
0:0
Latest results of Trabzonspor
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 73:27 | 46 | 74 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 71:34 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 59:35 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Besiktas ✔ | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 59 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 53:34 | 19 | 51 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 43:42 | 1 | 48 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 40 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 37 |
| 11 | Gaziantep | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41:54 | -13 | 37 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 32 |
| 14 | Eyupspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:45 | -19 | 29 |
| 15 | Antalyaspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 30:51 | -21 | 29 |
| 16 | Genclerbirligi | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30:45 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 24:58 | -34 | 27 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 28:53 | -25 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
Clinched Spots for Teams
Besiktas is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
