Fatima vs Mortágua – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
02/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
32
Total shots
86
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 15', 1 - 0, ,
  • 19', 1 - 1, ,
  • 39', 1 - 2, ,
  • 41', 1 - 3, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Fatima
39.7%
Draw
32.3%
Mortágua
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 32.5% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 32% 24.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fatima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Mortágua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatima than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Fatima - Mortágua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.12)
    2.84
    (2.8)
    3.28
    (3.69)
    9%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 and 7)
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Fatima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Fatima has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Mortágua has had a series of home games.
    • Fatima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fatima won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Fatima won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fatima - Mortágua were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Mortágua - Fatima 2:0
    05.01.2025 Fatima - Mortágua 0:0
    Latest results of Fatima
    26.10.2025 Lajense - Fatima 0:1
    05.10.2025 Samora Correia - Fatima 0:1
    28.09.2025 Fatima - Peniche 3:1
    20.09.2025 Caldas - Fatima 3:0
    14.09.2025 Oliveira Hospital - Fatima 2:0
    Latest results of Mortágua
    26.10.2025 Mortágua - Samora Correia 0:0
    19.10.2025 Mortágua - Portimonense B 2:0
    12.10.2025 Mortágua - SC Lusitânia 0:2
    05.10.2025 Peniche - Mortágua 4:0
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache19135128:72144
    2SB Castelo Branco19112635:191635
    3Naval 18931995526:19732
    4Mortagua1995519:18132
    5Oliveira Hospital1987423:111231
    6Uniao Da Serra1987429:191031
    7Os Marialvas1873825:22324
    8Peniche1966721:26-524
    9Fatima1957717:21-422
    10Lajense2057826:28-222
    11Marinhense1747611:20-919
    12Samora Correia19451013:25-1217
    13SC Lusitania20441220:34-1416
    14Electrico20341323:47-2413

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