Result
1:1
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 18
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 66', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 73', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Peniche
38.7% | Draw
31.8% | Fatima
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Fatima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatima than the current prediction. (-2%)
Peniche - Fatima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.2) |
2.86 ↓
(3) |
3.08 ↓
(3.1) |
10%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 10 in the zone Relegation).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Peniche could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Peniche won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peniche won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Peniche won against Fatima?
Peniche has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fatima won against Peniche?
Fatima has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peniche - Fatima were as follows:
28.09.2025
Fatima
-
Peniche
3:1
02.02.2025
Peniche
-
Fatima
0:1
15.09.2024
Fatima
-
Peniche
0:1
Latest results of Peniche
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache ✔ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 33:10 | 23 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 36:13 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | SB Castelo Branco | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | Naval 1893 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Os Marialvas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Mortagua | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 21:25 | -4 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Lajense | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Peniche | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 27 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | Marinhense ✔ | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico ✔ | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 32:60 | -28 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania ✔ | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Marinhense is Relegated to
Electrico is Relegated to
SC Lusitania is Relegated to
