Result
0:1
13/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (307/388) | 71% (202/284) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (307/388) | 71% (202/284) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (48/86) | 43% (27/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (58/105) | 59% (56/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Linares H. ↓, Mangana R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', 0 - 1, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. (Pen),
- 57', Hernandez O. ↓, Manzambi N. ↑,
- 62', Llontop M. 🟨,
- 63', Arias A. ↓, Bernaola G. ↑,
- 63', Guzman L. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 74', Meza D. ↓, Awudu Abdul ↑,
- 74', Padron G. ↓, Osorio D. ↑,
- 74', Liza P. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
- 74', Paredes J. ↓, Tavares M. ↑,
- 83', Lazo M. ↓, Cabanillas N. ↑,
- 83', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ↓, Ramos E. ↑,
- 84', Casiani L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Academia Puerto Cabello
34.6% | Draw
30.6% | FBC Melgar
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Academia Puerto Cabello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Academia Puerto Cabello - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.55) |
3.06 ↓
(3.18) |
2.7 ↓
(2.79) |
6.3%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Academia Puerto Cabello - FBC Melgar?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Puerto Cabello (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Puerto Cabello (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Academia Puerto Cabello will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Puerto Cabello (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Puerto Cabello won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Academia Puerto Cabello won against FBC Melgar?
Academia Puerto Cabello has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Academia Puerto Cabello?
FBC Melgar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Academia Puerto Cabello - FBC Melgar were as follows:
22.04.2025
FBC Melgar
-
Academia Puerto Cabello
1:0
Latest results of Academia Puerto Cabello
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Draw
2026Final| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | Recoleta | |
| 2 | Sportivo Trinidense | Olimpia Asuncion | |
| 3 | Alianza Atl. | Deportivo Garcilaso | |
| 4 | Cienciano | FBC Melgar | |
| 5 | Montevideo City | Defensor Sp. | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Boston River | Racing Montevideo | |
| 7 | Puerto Cabello | Monagas | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Caracas | Metropolitanos | |
| 9 | U. De Chile | Palestino | |
| 10 | Cobresal | A. Italiano | |
| 11 | Atl. Nacional | Millonarios | |
| 12 | America De Cali | Bucaramanga | |
| 13 | Independiente | Guabira | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Blooming | SA Bulo Bulo | |
| 15 | Dep. Cuenca | Libertad | |
| 16 | Orense | Macara | |
