Academia Puerto Cabello vs FBC Melgar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Academia Puerto Cabello - FBC Melgar
Result
0:1
13/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.981.52
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
05
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
79% (307/388)71% (202/284)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.981.52
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.52
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
05
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1416
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
79% (307/388)71% (202/284)
Long passes
56% (48/86)43% (27/63)
Passes in final third
55% (58/105)59% (56/95)
Crosses
22% (4/18)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.60
Throw-ins
2024
Fouls
1210
Tackles
57% (8/14)61% (11/18)
Duels won
4466
Clearances
1531
Interceptions
412
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
1.520.00
Goals prevented
0.520.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Linares H. , Mangana R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', 0 - 1, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. (Pen),
  • 57', Hernandez O. , Manzambi N. ,
  • 62', Llontop M. 🟨,
  • 63', Arias A. , Bernaola G. ,
  • 63', Guzman L. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 74', Meza D. , Awudu Abdul ,
  • 74', Padron G. , Osorio D. ,
  • 74', Liza P. , Martinez T. ,
  • 74', Paredes J. , Tavares M. ,
  • 83', Lazo M. , Cabanillas N. ,
  • 83', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. , Ramos E. ,
  • 84', Casiani L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Academia Puerto Cabello
34.6%
Draw
30.6%
FBC Melgar
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 29.5% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 29.3% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Academia Puerto Cabello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Academia Puerto Cabello - FBC Melgar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.55)
    3.06
    (3.18)
    2.7
    (2.79)
    6.3%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Academia Puerto Cabello - FBC Melgar?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Puerto Cabello (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Academia Puerto Cabello will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Puerto Cabello won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Academia Puerto Cabello - FBC Melgar were as follows:
    22.04.2025 FBC Melgar - Academia Puerto Cabello 1:0
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2