Result
2:1
17/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 6
- Referee: Cartagena J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (357/443) | 73% (191/260) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (357/443) | 73% (191/260) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (28/58) | 43% (32/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (117/165) | 55% (42/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (3/30) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.39 | -0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Vidales J. ⚽, Quagliata N. (A),
- 38', Ganoza M. 🟨,
- 45+2', Caro D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Quagliata N. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
- 49', Guzman L. 🟨,
- 51', Ganoza M. ↓, Ataupillco J. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Caballero F. ⚽, Bilbao J. (A),
- 65', Vilchez J. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
- 65', Caro D. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
- 67', Llontop M. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
- 67', Vidales J. ↓, D'Arrigo J. ↑,
- 76', Tandazo W. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
- 81', Arakaki H. ↓, de la Cruz A. ↑,
- 83', Bordacahar C. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Rodriguez G. ⚽, Cuesta B. (A),
Chances of winning
FBC Melgar
75% | Draw
16.5% | Ayacucho
8.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
FBC Melgar - Ayacucho Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.26 ↓
(1.29) |
5.53 ↑
(5.13) |
10.95 ↑
(9.55) |
6.8%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Ayacucho?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melgar: 73.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Melgar (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 3.
- Melgar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ayacucho's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ayacucho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Melgar is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Melgar: Cabanillas N.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez L.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Ayacucho: Barrios K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:13. (average 1.6:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:3. (average 1.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Ayacucho?
FBC Melgar has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against FBC Melgar?
Ayacucho has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Ayacucho were as follows:
27.03.2025
Ayacucho
-
FBC Melgar
2:3
08.10.2022
FBC Melgar
-
Ayacucho
3:0
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Latest results of Ayacucho
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
