Result
2:3
27/03/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 6
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (217/296) | 75% (287/382) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (217/296) | 75% (287/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (28/63) | 44% (35/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (40/73) | 48% (49/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.58 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 52 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 27 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.23 | -1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 25', 1 - 0, Perez Azambuya E. M. (Pen),
- 27', Liza P. 🟨,
- 33', Lucumi J. 🟨,
- 33', Valencia J. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 1, Martinez T. ⚽, Bordacahar C. (A),
- 44', 2 - 1, Lucumi J. ⚽, Ferreira M. (A),
- 44', Ganoza M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Rodriguez D. ↓, Lazo M. ↑,
- 54', Liza P. ↓, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ↑,
- 54', Tandazo W. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
- 59', Orzan H. 🟨,
- 63', Orzan H. 🟥,
- 65', Rodriguez G. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
- 75', Bilbao J. 🟥,
- 77', 2 - 2, Guzman L. ⚽,
- 78', Yovera A. ↓, Navarro G. ↑,
- 78', Ferreira M. 🟨,
- 80', Ferreira M. ↓, Salem J. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 3, Guzman L. ⚽,
- 85', Bordacahar C. ↓, Barreda M. ↑,
- 87', Lucumi J. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
- 87', Ramirez D. ↓, Vilchez J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ayacucho
19.1% | Draw
24.2% | FBC Melgar
56.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ayacucho's form might have worsened.FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FBC Melgar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FBC Melgar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ayacucho - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.9 ↑
(3.91) |
3.88 ↑
(3.27) |
1.64 ↓
(2.02) |
7.2%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and Peruvian Liga 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : FOX Deportes
What is the prediction for Ayacucho - FBC Melgar?
Users Predictions:
FBC Melgar will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ayacucho won 1.
- Ayacucho is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Melgar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Melgar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Melgar have a series of home games.
- In this match Melgar is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Ayacucho won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 13:31 (average 0.7:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ayacucho won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:12 (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against FBC Melgar?
Ayacucho has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Ayacucho?
FBC Melgar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ayacucho - FBC Melgar were as follows:
08.10.2022
FBC Melgar
-
Ayacucho
3:0
Latest results of Ayacucho
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 37:12 | 25 | 35 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 18:10 | 8 | 33 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 27:16 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 26:18 | 8 | 29 |
| 5 | Cusco | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 29:19 | 10 | 28 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 28:22 | 6 | 28 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 27 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 27 |
| 9 | Cienciano | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 28:23 | 5 | 22 |
| 10 | Los Chankas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 23:24 | -1 | 21 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 20 |
| 12 | AD Tarma | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
| 13 | Grau | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20:22 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 | Cajamarca | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:33 | -16 | 18 |
| 15 | Binacional | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18:27 | -9 | 17 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 15 |
| 17 | Comerciantes Unidos | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Ayacucho | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12:27 | -15 | 9 |
| 19 | Alianza Huanuco | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14:32 | -18 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Ayacucho - FBC Melgar?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
