Result
2:3
27/03/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.32 | 0.82 |
Ball Possession |
---|
44% | 56% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
73% (217/296) | 75% (287/382) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.32 | 0.82 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.03 | 0.77 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
15 | 19 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
73% (217/296) | 75% (287/382) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (28/63) | 44% (35/80) |
Passes in final third |
---|
55% (40/73) | 48% (49/103) |
Crosses |
---|
50% (4/8) | 40% (6/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.44 | 0.58 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
70% (7/10) | 75% (12/16) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 52 |
Clearances Total |
---|
27 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 9 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.77 | 1.03 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-2.23 | -1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 25', 1 - 0, Perez Azambuya E. M. (Pen),
- 27', Liza P. 🟨,
- 33', Lucumi J. 🟨,
- 33', Valencia J. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 1, Martinez T. ⚽, Bordacahar C. (A),
- 44', 2 - 1, Lucumi J. ⚽, Ferreira M. (A),
- 44', Ganoza M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Rodriguez D. ↓, Lazo M. ↑,
- 54', Liza P. ↓, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ↑,
- 54', Tandazo W. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
- 59', Orzan H. 🟨,
- 63', Orzan H. 🟥,
- 65', Rodriguez G. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
- 75', Bilbao J. 🟥,
- 77', 2 - 2, Guzman L. ⚽,
- 78', Yovera A. ↓, Navarro G. ↑,
- 78', Ferreira M. 🟨,
- 80', Ferreira M. ↓, Salem J. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 3, Guzman L. ⚽,
- 85', Bordacahar C. ↓, Barreda M. ↑,
- 87', Lucumi J. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
- 87', Ramirez D. ↓, Vilchez J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ayacucho 19.1% | Draw 24.2% | FBC Melgar 56.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ayacucho's form might have worsened.FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FBC Melgar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FBC Melgar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ayacucho - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.9 ↑ (3.91) |
3.88 ↑ (3.27) |
1.64 ↓ (2.02) |
7.2% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and Peruvian Liga 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : FOX Deportes
What is the prediction for Ayacucho - FBC Melgar?
Users Predictions:
FBC Melgar will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ayacucho won 1.
- Ayacucho is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Melgar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Melgar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Melgar have a series of home games.
- In this match Melgar is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Ayacucho won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 13:31 (average 0.7:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ayacucho won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:12 (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against FBC Melgar?
Ayacucho has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Ayacucho?
FBC Melgar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ayacucho - FBC Melgar were as follows:
08.10.2022
FBC Melgar
-
Ayacucho
3:0
Latest results of Ayacucho
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
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