Result
03/05/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
FBC Melgar
61.4% | Draw
22.9% | Cajamarca
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
FBC Melgar - Cajamarca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.57) |
4.02 ↑
(3.95) |
5.84 ↑
(5.68) |
8.4%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 4.
- In recent matches, Melgar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cajamarca has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Melgar is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Cajamarca?
FBC Melgar has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against FBC Melgar?
Cajamarca has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Cajamarca were as follows:
19.07.2025
Cajamarca
-
FBC Melgar
1:2
08.02.2025
FBC Melgar
-
Cajamarca
3:0
22.10.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Cajamarca
1:0
12.05.2024
Cajamarca
-
FBC Melgar
2:6
15.08.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Cajamarca
1:1
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Latest results of Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 21:14 | 7 | 29 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | Cusco | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Cajamarca | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Moquegua | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:27 | -9 | 15 |
| 11 | Sporting Cristal | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 | AD Tarma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 | Grau | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
