Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Cajamarca - FBC Melgar
Result
1:2
19/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 1
  • Referee: Haro D. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.952.51
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1323
Shots on target
39
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
87
Passes
72% (197/272)80% (277/345)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.952.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.021.61
Total shots
1323
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
69
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
1014
Shots outside the Box
39
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
87
Touches in opposition box
2139
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
68
Passes
72% (197/272)80% (277/345)
Long passes
47% (31/66)66% (41/62)
Passes in final third
59% (54/92)77% (108/140)
Crosses
25% (5/20)24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.791.38
Throw-ins
1626
Fouls
86
Tackles
64% (9/14)80% (12/15)
Duels won
4244
Clearances
2825
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
1.611.02
Goals prevented
-0.390.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', Garro L. , Vasquez A. ,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Vidales J. ,
  • 34', Romero F. , Lujan J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Barrios P. 🟨,
  • 62', Aguirre J. 🟨,
  • 66', Serra P. 🟥,
  • 72', Barrios P. , Deneumostier A. ,
  • 74', Oncoy F. , Palacios B. ,
  • 79', 0 - 2, Lazo M. ,
  • 80', Vidales J. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 80', Bordacahar C. , Arias A. ,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Quintero J. ,
  • 87', Martinez T. 🟨,
  • 89', Palacios B. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Martinez T. , Barreda M. ,

Chances of winning


Cajamarca
23%
Draw
28.2%
FBC Melgar
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21% 26.8% 52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5% 26.1% 53.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Cajamarca - FBC Melgar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.13
    (4.46)
    3.31
    (3.5)
    1.91
    (1.8)
    6.7%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cajamarca - FBC Melgar?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Melgar will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Melgar: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Melgar is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cajamarca: Alvarez L. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - FBC Melgar were as follows:
    08.02.2025 FBC Melgar - Cajamarca 3:0
    22.10.2024 FBC Melgar - Cajamarca 1:0
    12.05.2024 Cajamarca - FBC Melgar 2:6
    15.08.2023 FBC Melgar - Cajamarca 1:1
    18.03.2023 Cajamarca - FBC Melgar 0:0
    Latest results of Cajamarca
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11003:033
    2Deportivo Garcilaso11003:033
    3Juan Pablo II11003:033
    4U. de Deportes11003:123
    5Cusco11002:023
    6FBC Melgar11002:113
    7Grau11002:113
    8AD Tarma11001:013
    9Alianza Atl10100:001
    10Sport Huancayo10100:001
    11Binacional00000:000
    12Ayacucho10011:2-10
    13Cajamarca10011:2-10
    14Cienciano10010:1-10
    15Comerciantes Unidos10011:3-20
    16Alianza Lima10010:2-20
    17Sport Boys10010:3-30
    18Alianza Huanuco10010:3-30
    19Los Chankas10010:3-30

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