Result
1:2
19/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 1
- Referee: Haro D. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 2.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (197/272) | 80% (277/345) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 2.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (197/272) | 80% (277/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (31/66) | 66% (41/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (54/92) | 77% (108/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 24% (6/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.39 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', Garro L. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
- 21', 0 - 1, Vidales J. ⚽,
- 34', Romero F. ↓, Lujan J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', Barrios P. 🟨,
- 62', Aguirre J. 🟨,
- 66', Serra P. 🟥,
- 72', Barrios P. ↓, Deneumostier A. ↑,
- 74', Oncoy F. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
- 79', 0 - 2, Lazo M. ⚽,
- 80', Vidales J. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 80', Bordacahar C. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Quintero J. ⚽,
- 87', Martinez T. 🟨,
- 89', Palacios B. 🟨,
- 90+2', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Martinez T. ↓, Barreda M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cajamarca
23% | Draw
28.2% | FBC Melgar
48.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Cajamarca - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.13 ↓
(4.46) |
3.31 ↓
(3.5) |
1.91 ↑
(1.8) |
6.7%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cajamarca - FBC Melgar?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Melgar will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melgar: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Melgar is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cajamarca: Alvarez L.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against FBC Melgar?
Cajamarca has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Cajamarca?
FBC Melgar has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - FBC Melgar were as follows:
08.02.2025
FBC Melgar
-
Cajamarca
3:0
22.10.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Cajamarca
1:0
12.05.2024
Cajamarca
-
FBC Melgar
2:6
15.08.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Cajamarca
1:1
18.03.2023
Cajamarca
-
FBC Melgar
0:0
Latest results of Cajamarca
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
