Dordrecht vs FC Eindhoven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4
12/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 20
  • Referee: Perez M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.941.17
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
95
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
77% (301/393)67% (224/333)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
3.941.17
xG on target (xGOT)
3.101.35
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
167
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
3223
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
129
Passes
77% (301/393)67% (224/333)
Long passes
58% (44/76)52% (47/90)
Passes in final third
63% (71/113)54% (65/121)
Crosses
19% (5/27)0% (0/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.460.46
Throw-ins
2121
Fouls
912
Tackles
53% (8/15)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4948
Clearances
2638
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
1.353.10
Goals prevented
-2.650.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Venema N. , Eduardo Y. (A),
  • 30', Huisman D. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 1, Neeskens J. , Essers C. (A),
  • 39', 1 - 2, van Veen K. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 54', 2 - 2, Afaker M. , Drakpe A. (A),
  • 59', Blummel S. , Lukoki Mateso E. ,
  • 60', Woudenberg L. 🟨,
  • 71', Muller T. , Dorenbosch D. ,
  • 71', Essers C. , van de Wetering M. ,
  • 72', Drakpe A. , Valk S. ,
  • 82', 2 - 3, Simons T. ,
  • 83', Venema N. , M'Bemba Y. ,
  • 83', Afaker M. , Carrillo S. ,
  • 83', Woudenberg L. , Vugts S. ,
  • 83', Limouri F. , Renfrum O. ,
  • 83', van Veen K. , Janga R. ,
  • 90+3', Hilton J. , Pynadath J. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 4, Janga R. , Huisman D. (A),
  • 90+8', 3 - 4, Eduardo Y. , Sunderland L. (A),

Chances of winning


Dordrecht
44.4%
Draw
26.6%
FC Eindhoven
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54% 24.4% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5% 26% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dordrecht's form might have worsened.
  • FC Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FC Eindhoven's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dordrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FC Eindhoven, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Dordrecht - FC Eindhoven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (1.7)
    3.52
    (3.75)
    3.23
    (4.26)
    6.8%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Dordrecht - FC Eindhoven?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 4 - 40%). FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for FC Eindhoven: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): FC Eindhoven will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Dordrecht is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Dordrecht: Baltussen T. (Knee Injury) Valk S. (Knee Injury) Van de Giessen L. (Ankle Injury) de Bie J. (Injury) van Vianen D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in FC Eindhoven: Deenen H. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:46. (average 1.3:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.6:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dordrecht - FC Eindhoven were as follows:
    30.09.2025 FC Eindhoven - Dordrecht 2:2
    20.12.2024 Dordrecht - FC Eindhoven 3:3
    13.09.2024 FC Eindhoven - Dordrecht 0:0
    15.03.2024 Dordrecht - FC Eindhoven 0:0
    29.09.2023 FC Eindhoven - Dordrecht 1:1
    Latest results of Dordrecht
    06.12.2025 Willem II - Dordrecht 2:0
    28.11.2025 Dordrecht - Jong Utrecht 1:2
    25.11.2025 Roda - Dordrecht 1:2
    21.11.2025 Dordrecht - Vitesse 1:1
    07.11.2025 Jong Ajax - Dordrecht 0:0
    Latest results of FC Eindhoven
    05.12.2025 FC Eindhoven - Jong PSV 4:0
    21.11.2025 Jong Ajax - FC Eindhoven 1:3
    15.11.2025 FC Eindhoven - Cambuur 3:3
    07.11.2025 FC Eindhoven - Den Bosch 1:3
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 32242672:314174
    2Cambuur31217363:333070
    3De Graafschap31157958:49952
    4Willem II31148945:38750
    5Jong PSV321551262:56650
    6Almere City321541366:531349
    7Waalwijk321391054:47748
    8Roda321211950:47347
    9Dordrecht3211101143:43043
    10Den Bosch321271355:57-243
    11Eindhoven FC311241545:55-1040
    12Venlo321141739:49-1037
    13FC Emmen301061446:54-836
    14Jong Utrecht32991448:54-636
    15Maastricht32991439:61-2236
    16Vitesse321291149:49033
    17Helmond32961737:56-1933
    18Jong Ajax32881645:57-1232
    19Jong AZ32941953:63-1031
    20Oss326111539:56-1729

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