FC Porto vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
23/04/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Divisao Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Chances of winning


FC Porto
73.5%
Benfica
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.1% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FC Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FC Porto's performance.
  • Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benfica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Porto than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Porto that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benfica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • FC Porto - Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.25
    (1.34)

    3.46
    (2.86)
    9.1%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 173.50
    Preview Facts
    • Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Porto is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Porto won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 36:34. (average 2.1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 2.2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FC Porto - Benfica were as follows:
    19.04.2026 Benfica - FC Porto 2:3
    15.04.2026 FC Porto - Benfica 2:3
    10.04.2026 Benfica - FC Porto 0:3
    04.04.2026 FC Porto - Benfica 2:3
    11.01.2026 FC Porto - Benfica 3:0
    Latest results of FC Porto
    19.04.2026 Benfica - FC Porto 2:3
    15.04.2026 FC Porto - Benfica 2:3
    10.04.2026 Benfica - FC Porto 0:3
    04.04.2026 FC Porto - Benfica 2:3
    Latest results of Benfica
    19.04.2026 Benfica - FC Porto 2:3
    15.04.2026 FC Porto - Benfica 2:3
    10.04.2026 Benfica - FC Porto 0:3
    04.04.2026 FC Porto - Benfica 2:3
    29.03.2026 Leixões - Benfica 1:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1FC Porto W (1)Vitoria Guimaraes W (8)2 : 0
    2Benfica W (4)Leixoes W (5)2 : 0
    3Braga W (2)Clube Kairos W (7)2 : 0
    4Sporting W (3)PV Colegio Efanor W (6)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1FC Porto WBenfica W3 : 2
    2Braga WSporting W3 : 0

    Final
    1FC Porto WBraga W1 : 0

    3rd place
    2Sporting WBenfica W0 : 1