Result
3:2
15/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Taca de Portugal Women - Quarter-finals
Chances of winning
FC Porto
57.4% | Sporting Alexandria
42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FC Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Sporting Alexandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Porto than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Porto that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Alexandria than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Alexandria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
FC Porto - Sporting Alexandria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.65) |
|
2.16 ↑
(2.06) |
8.8%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 178.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 3.
- Porto is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sporting Alexandria is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Sporting Alexandria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Porto won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 2.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 2.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has FC Porto won against Sporting Alexandria?
FC Porto has won 9 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Alexandria won against FC Porto?
Sporting Alexandria has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FC Porto - Sporting Alexandria were as follows:
18.01.2026
Sporting Alexandria
-
FC Porto
3:0
02.11.2025
FC Porto
-
Sporting Alexandria
3:0
01.05.2025
Sporting Alexandria
-
FC Porto
2:3
25.04.2025
FC Porto
-
Sporting Alexandria
1:3
21.04.2025
Sporting Alexandria
-
FC Porto
1:3
Latest results of FC Porto
Latest results of Sporting Alexandria
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Levada W | FC Porto W | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Vilacondense W | Sporting W | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Fiaes W | PV Colegio Efanor W | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Mamede W | Esmoriz GC W | 3 : 0 |
| 5 | Braga W | Clube Kairos W | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes W | Benfica W | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | Castelo Maia W | Leixoes W | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | SC Espinho W | Belenenses W | 1 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | FC Porto W | Sporting W | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | PV Colegio Efanor W | Mamede W | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Braga W | Benfica W | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Castelo Maia W | Belenenses W | 3 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | FC Porto W | PV Colegio Efanor W | |
| 2 | Braga W | Castelo Maia W | |
