İstanbul Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
06/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 15
  • Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.09
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
108
Passes
80% (305/382)78% (269/347)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.531.17
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
108
Touches in opposition box
2316
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
138
Passes
80% (305/382)78% (269/347)
Long passes
49% (21/43)32% (14/44)
Passes in final third
65% (76/117)72% (61/85)
Crosses
20% (4/20)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.78
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
813
Tackles
64% (9/14)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5250
Clearances
1825
Interceptions
73
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.171.53
Goals prevented
0.170.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Harit A. 🟨,
  • 20', Semedo N. , Akturkoglu K. ,
  • 29', Alvarez E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Fayzullaev A. 🟨,
  • 52', Mercan L. 🟨,
  • 57', Duran J. , En Nesyri Y. ,
  • 57', Talisca , Nene D. ,
  • 57', Mercan L. , Brown A. ,
  • 64', 0 - 1, Skriniar M. , Asensio M. (A),
  • 71', Fayzullaev A. , Yildirim B. ,
  • 73', Brown A. 🟨,
  • 78', Da Costa N. , Brnic I. ,
  • 78', Fred , Yuksek I. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Yildirim B. , Kemen O. (A),
  • 85', Sahiner O. , Ebosele F. ,
  • 86', Gunes U. , Ergun O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


İstanbul Başakşehir
20.4%
Draw
24.7%
Fenerbahçe
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.6% 25.4% 53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4% 25.2% 53.5%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.67
(4.36)
3.85
(3.7)
1.73
(1.77)
5.3%
(6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 1 - 50%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.12%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 0.
    • In recent matches, Başakşehir has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fenerbahçe is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Fenerbahçe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Fenerbahçe is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Başakşehir: Opoku J. (Yellow Cards) Sari Y. (Injury) Selke D. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Oosterwolde J. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Soyuncu C. (Knee Injury) Szymanski S. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 21:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Başakşehir won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe were as follows:
    09.05.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe 1:4
    15.12.2024 Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir 3:1
    24.01.2024 İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe 0:1
    28.09.2023 Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir 4:0
    11.06.2023 Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir 2:0
    Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray16123136:122439
    2Fenerbahce16106036:142236
    3Trabzonspor16105130:161435
    4Goztepe1685319:91029
    5Besiktas1675429:22726
    6Samsunspor1667322:18425
    7Gaziantep1665523:25-223
    8Kocaelispor1765615:17-223
    9Basaksehir1655622:17520
    10Alanyaspor1639414:15-118
    11Rizespor1646620:23-318
    12Konyaspor1644820:28-816
    13Genclerbirligi1643917:21-415
    14Kasimpasa1636714:21-715
    15Antalyaspor17431016:31-1515
    16Kayserispor1628615:32-1714
    17Eyupspor1634910:21-1113
    18Karagumruk16231114:30-169

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig