İstanbul Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
09/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 35
  • Referee: Pakkan B. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.463.47
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1419
Shots on target
69
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
82% (363/441)85% (369/435)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.463.47
xG on target (xGOT)
2.744.10
Total shots
1419
Shots on target
69
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
816
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2335
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
169
Passes
82% (363/441)85% (369/435)
Long passes
54% (29/54)56% (27/48)
Passes in final third
59% (52/88)76% (90/119)
Crosses
37% (7/19)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.662.56
Throw-ins
1517
Fouls
916
Tackles
53% (9/17)53% (9/17)
Duels won
5136
Clearances
1122
Interceptions
139
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
4.102.74
Goals prevented
-0.021.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', Amrabat S. 🟨,
  • 20', Piatek K. (Pen),
  • 24', Diego Carlos 🟨,
  • 28', Talisca 🟨,
  • 30', Sahiner O. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Muldur M. , Yuksek I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Diego Carlos , Osayi-Samuel B. ,
  • 59', Brnic I. , Figueiredo J. ,
  • 59', Gunes U. , Ozdemir B. ,
  • 60', 0 - 2, Skriniar M. ,
  • 71', Dzeko E. , En Nesyri Y. ,
  • 73', Sahiner O. , Ebosele F. ,
  • 73', Kemen O. , Beyaz O. ,
  • 79', Fred , Szymanski S. ,
  • 79', Sari Y. , Turuc D. ,
  • 79', Yuksek I. 🟨,
  • 85', Talisca , Kahveci I. C. ,
  • 85', Yuksek I. , Aydin O. ,
  • 86', 0 - 3, En Nesyri Y. , Kostic F. (A),
  • 90+1', 1 - 3, Beyaz O. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 4, Aydin O. , Kahveci I. C. (A),

Chances of winning


İstanbul Başakşehir
21.8%
Draw
23.3%
Fenerbahçe
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.3% 22.3% 59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1% 22.5% 60%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.37
(5.15)
4.05
(4.22)
1.73
(1.59)
5.5%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 24 - 82.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 69.1%96.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fenerbahçe will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 0.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • In this match, Fenerbahçe is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Başakşehir: Ergun O. (Broken ankle)
    • There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Amrabat S. (Injury) Oosterwolde J. (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Becao (Knee Injury) Saint-Maximin A. (Injury) Soyuncu C. (Yellow Cards) Yandas M. (Knock)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:34. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Başakşehir won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir 3:1
    24.01.2024 İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe 0:1
    28.09.2023 Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir 4:0
    11.06.2023 Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir 2:0
    19.04.2023 İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe 1:2
    Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    04.05.2025 Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş 0:1
    26.04.2025 Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe 1:3
    20.04.2025 Fenerbahçe - Kayserispor 3:3
    13.04.2025 Sivasspor - Fenerbahçe 1:3
    06.04.2025 Fenerbahçe - Trabzonspor 4:1
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray13102128:82032
    2Fenerbahce1394030:121831
    3Trabzonspor1494125:121331
    4Samsunspor1366119:12724
    5Goztepe1365215:6923
    6Gaziantep1464421:22-122
    7Besiktas1363422:17521
    8Kocaelispor1453612:15-318
    9Basaksehir1444619:16316
    10Alanyaspor1336413:14-115
    11Konyaspor1443719:23-415
    12Rizespor1435616:22-614
    13Antalyaspor1342713:23-1014
    14Kasimpasa1434714:21-713
    15Eyupspor143389:17-812
    16Kayserispor1426614:31-1712
    17Genclerbirligi1432914:21-711
    18Karagumruk1322913:24-118

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig