İstanbul Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
06/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 15
  • Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
asiaAsiaTOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chinaChinaZhiBo8
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 2
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 2
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
portugalPortugalSport TV5
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.09
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
108
Passes
80% (305/382)78% (269/347)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.531.17
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
108
Touches in opposition box
2316
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
138
Passes
80% (305/382)78% (269/347)
Long passes
49% (21/43)32% (14/44)
Passes in final third
65% (76/117)72% (61/85)
Crosses
20% (4/20)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.78
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
813
Tackles
64% (9/14)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5250
Clearances
1825
Interceptions
73
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.171.53
Goals prevented
0.170.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Harit A. 🟨,
  • 20', Semedo N. , Akturkoglu K. ,
  • 29', Alvarez E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Fayzullaev A. 🟨,
  • 52', Mercan L. 🟨,
  • 57', Duran J. , En Nesyri Y. ,
  • 57', Talisca , Nene D. ,
  • 57', Mercan L. , Brown A. ,
  • 64', 0 - 1, Skriniar M. , Asensio M. (A),
  • 71', Fayzullaev A. , Yildirim B. ,
  • 73', Brown A. 🟨,
  • 78', Da Costa N. , Brnic I. ,
  • 78', Fred , Yuksek I. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Yildirim B. , Kemen O. (A),
  • 85', Sahiner O. , Ebosele F. ,
  • 86', Gunes U. , Ergun O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


İstanbul Başakşehir
20.4%
Draw
24.7%
Fenerbahçe
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.6% 25.4% 53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4% 25.2% 53.5%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.67
(4.36)
3.85
(3.7)
1.73
(1.77)
5.3%
(6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Başakşehir (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Fenerbahçe (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.12%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 0.
    • In recent matches, Başakşehir has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fenerbahçe is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Fenerbahçe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Fenerbahçe is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Başakşehir: Opoku J. (Yellow Cards) Sari Y. (Injury) Selke D. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Oosterwolde J. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Soyuncu C. (Knee Injury) Szymanski S. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 21:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Başakşehir won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe were as follows:
    09.05.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe 1:4
    15.12.2024 Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir 3:1
    24.01.2024 İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe 0:1
    28.09.2023 Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir 4:0
    11.06.2023 Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir 2:0
    Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
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    2025/26
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    12Rizespor2048824:30-620
    13Antalyaspor20551019:33-1420
    14Konyaspor2047924:33-919
    15Eyupspor20461016:28-1218
    16Kasimpasa20371015:27-1216
    17Kayserispor2029916:41-2515
    18Karagumruk20231517:39-229

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig