Result
1:4
09/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 35
- Referee: Pakkan B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | TOD |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 3.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (363/441) | 85% (369/435) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 3.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.74 | 4.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (363/441) | 85% (369/435) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (29/54) | 56% (27/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (52/88) | 76% (90/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 2.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.10 | 2.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | 1.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', Amrabat S. 🟨,
- 20', Piatek K. (Pen),
- 24', Diego Carlos 🟨,
- 28', Talisca 🟨,
- 30', Sahiner O. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 1, Muldur M. ⚽, Yuksek I. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Diego Carlos ↓, Osayi-Samuel B. ↑,
- 59', Brnic I. ↓, Figueiredo J. ↑,
- 59', Gunes U. ↓, Ozdemir B. ↑,
- 60', 0 - 2, Skriniar M. ⚽,
- 71', Dzeko E. ↓, En Nesyri Y. ↑,
- 73', Sahiner O. ↓, Ebosele F. ↑,
- 73', Kemen O. ↓, Beyaz O. ↑,
- 79', Fred ↓, Szymanski S. ↑,
- 79', Sari Y. ↓, Turuc D. ↑,
- 79', Yuksek I. 🟨,
- 85', Talisca ↓, Kahveci I. C. ↑,
- 85', Yuksek I. ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 3, En Nesyri Y. ⚽, Kostic F. (A),
- 90+1', 1 - 3, Beyaz O. ⚽,
- 90+3', 1 - 4, Aydin O. ⚽, Kahveci I. C. (A),
Chances of winning
İstanbul Başakşehir
21.8% | Draw
23.3% | Fenerbahçe
54.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fenerbahçe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.37 ↓
(5.15) |
4.05 ↓
(4.22) |
1.73 ↑
(1.59) |
5.5%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 24 - 82.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 69.1% – 96.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fenerbahçe will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 0.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- In this match, Fenerbahçe is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Başakşehir: Ergun O.
(Broken ankle)
- There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Amrabat S.
(Injury)
Oosterwolde J.
(Knee Injury)
Rodrigo Becao
(Knee Injury)
Saint-Maximin A.
(Injury)
Soyuncu C.
(Yellow Cards)
Yandas M.
(Knock)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:34. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Başakşehir won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Fenerbahçe?
İstanbul Başakşehir has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fenerbahçe won against İstanbul Başakşehir?
Fenerbahçe has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe were as follows:
15.12.2024
Fenerbahçe
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
3:1
24.01.2024
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Fenerbahçe
0:1
28.09.2023
Fenerbahçe
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
4:0
11.06.2023
Fenerbahçe
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
2:0
19.04.2023
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Fenerbahçe
1:2
Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
Latest results of Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kayserispor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Antalyaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gaziantep | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Samsunspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Alanyaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Eyupspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Karagumruk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Galatasaray | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Fenerbahce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Besiktas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Konyaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Genclerbirligi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Rizespor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Kasimpasa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Kocaelispor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Basaksehir | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Goztepe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
