Result
02/05/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 32
- Referee: Aksu O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 3 |
 Asia | TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Bolivia | ESPN 7 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 10 |
 Ecuador | ESPN 7 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Indonesia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 5 |
 Thailand | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 7 |
Chances of winning
Fenerbahçe
56.4% | Draw
22.4% | İstanbul Başakşehir
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fenerbahçe's form might have worsened.İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting İstanbul Başakşehir's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fenerbahçe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for İstanbul Başakşehir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.48) |
4.19 ↓
(4.77) |
4.49 ↓
(6.41) |
5.8%
(4.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 4.
- In recent matches, Fenerbahçe has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Başakşehir is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Başakşehir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Fenerbahçe is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Alvarez E.
(Ankle Injury)
Brown A.
(Yellow Cards)
Ederson
(Red Card)
Guendouzi M.
(Yellow Cards)
Muldur M.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:20. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fenerbahçe won against İstanbul Başakşehir?
Fenerbahçe has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Fenerbahçe?
İstanbul Başakşehir has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir were as follows:
06.12.2025
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Fenerbahçe
1:1
09.05.2025
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Fenerbahçe
1:4
15.12.2024
Fenerbahçe
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
3:1
24.01.2024
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Fenerbahçe
0:1
28.09.2023
Fenerbahçe
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
4:0
Latest results of Fenerbahçe
Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 72:23 | 49 | 74 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 31 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 68:33 | 35 | 67 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 58:34 | 24 | 65 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 59 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 52:31 | 21 | 51 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 39:27 | 12 | 51 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 39:41 | -2 | 45 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 40 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 40 |
| 10 | Gaziantep | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41:54 | -13 | 37 |
| 11 | Kocaelispor | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 31 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29:45 | -16 | 31 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 30:44 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 28 |
| 16 | Antalyaspor | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 30:51 | -21 | 28 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 23:57 | -34 | 26 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 27:53 | -26 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
