Result
09/04/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Fenerbahçe 55.2% | Real Madrid 44.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Fenerbahçe - Real Madrid Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.74 ↓ (1.78) |
|
2.12 ↑ (2) |
4.5% (6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 169.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 4.
- Fenerbahçe has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Real Madrid's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Fenerbahçe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1524:1637. (average 76.2:81.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 748:800. (average 74.8:80).
How many head-to-head matches has Fenerbahçe won against Real Madrid?
Fenerbahçe has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Fenerbahçe?
Real Madrid has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fenerbahçe - Real Madrid were as follows:
30.10.2025
Real Madrid
-
Fenerbahçe
84:58
06.02.2025
Fenerbahçe
-
Real Madrid
78:67
05.12.2024
Real Madrid
-
Fenerbahçe
70:82
07.03.2024
Real Madrid
-
Fenerbahçe
79:89
30.11.2023
Fenerbahçe
-
Real Madrid
100:99
Latest results of Fenerbahçe
Latest results of Real Madrid
Euroleague Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | L | |
| 1 | Olympiacos | 36 | 24 | 12 | 3232:2983 |
| 2 | Valencia | 36 | 23 | 13 | 3221:3074 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 36 | 23 | 13 | 2964:2911 |
| 4 | Hapoel Tel-Aviv | 35 | 22 | 13 | 3060:2929 |
| 5 | Real Madrid | 36 | 22 | 14 | 3165:3005 |
| 6 | Panathinaikos | 36 | 21 | 15 | 3133:3064 |
| 7 | Zalgiris Kaunas | 36 | 21 | 15 | 3136:2972 |
| 8 | Barcelona | 36 | 20 | 16 | 2986:2985 |
| 9 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 36 | 20 | 16 | 3099:3049 |
| 10 | Monaco | 35 | 19 | 16 | 3138:3035 |
| 11 | Dubai | 36 | 19 | 17 | 3170:3145 |
| 12 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 35 | 18 | 17 | 3133:3185 |
| 13 | Olimpia Milano | 36 | 17 | 19 | 3086:3115 |
| 14 | Bayern | 36 | 16 | 20 | 2900:2989 |
| 15 | Partizan Mozzart Bet | 35 | 15 | 20 | 2822:3015 |
| 16 | Paris | 36 | 14 | 22 | 3230:3291 |
| 17 | Virtus Bologna | 36 | 13 | 23 | 2949:3118 |
| 18 | Baskonia | 36 | 12 | 24 | 3160:3320 |
| 19 | Anadolu Efes | 35 | 10 | 25 | 2779:2920 |
| 20 | Lyon-Villeurbanne | 35 | 8 | 27 | 2744:3002 |
Promotion ~ Euroleague (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Euroleague (Play~in: )