Feniks-Mariupol vs Metalist Kharkiv – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ukrainian Persha Liga Feniks-Mariupol - Metalist Kharkiv
Result
0:1
09/10/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Persha Liga - Round 10

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Lutsiv V. ,
  • 33', Bogdanov A. , Orobets I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Nepeypiev R. , Nych N. ,
  • 55', Koreshkov V. 🟨,
  • 59', Koreshkov V. , Melnyk O. ,
  • 59', Yanchak V. , Vilkhovyi A. ,
  • 60', Orikhovskyi M. , Prykhodko D. ,
  • 69', Lutsiv P. 🟨,
  • 80', Kaydalov D. , Shakhmayev M. ,
  • 83', Nych N. , Revakovych R. ,
  • 86', Lutsiv V. , Goryainov O. ,
  • 87', Palyanychka K. 🟨,
  • 88', Bilyi R. 🟨,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+2', Fedoriv V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Feniks-Mariupol
36.2%
Draw
29.3%
Metalist Kharkiv
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.7% 28.1% 44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2% 27.6% 43.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Feniks-Mariupol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Feniks-Mariupol's performance.
  • Metalist Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metalist Kharkiv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Feniks-Mariupol that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metalist Kharkiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Feniks-Mariupol - Metalist Kharkiv Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (3.23)
    3.22
    (3.18)
    2.69
    (2.02)
    6.9%
    (11.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Feniks-Mariupol - Metalist Kharkiv?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Feniks-Mariupol will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Metalist will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Metalist may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Feniks-Mariupol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    • Including home match between the teams, Feniks-Mariupol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    Latest results of Feniks-Mariupol
    Latest results of Metalist Kharkiv
    Ukrainian Persha Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ch. Odesa1082017:21526
    2Bukovyna1082022:91326
    3Inhulets1054119:91019
    4Ahrobiznes Volochysk1053211:5618
    5Livyi Bereg951311:9216
    6Nyva Ternopil1044211:10116
    7Prykarpattya1042414:13114
    8Vorskla Poltava103348:8012
    9Viktoria103348:10-212
    10UCSA103347:8-112
    11Probiy Horodenka102359:15-69
    12Metalist Kharkiv92258:11-38
    13Fenix Mariupol102266:13-78
    14FC Chernihiv82157:11-47
    15SK Metalurh101364:16-126
    16Podillya Khmelnytskyi100465:18-134

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
          Persha Liga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Druha Liga