Result
1:0
29/09/2025 at 20:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Clausura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Diaz Laharque L. 🟨,
- 40', Molina B. 🟨,
- 45', Chavez B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', 1 - 0, Camejo F. ⚽,
- 64', Treppo E. 🟨,
- 67', Penepil M. ↓, Frattini M. ↑,
- 67', Roth J. ↓, Ortigoza M. ↑,
- 67', Camejo F. ↓, Serpa I. ↑,
- 67', Diaz Laharque L. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
- 73', Treppo E. ↓, Roberts D. ↑,
- 78', Castorani P. 🟨,
- 82', Rogoski M. ↓, Goyeneche J. ↑,
- 82', Campana A. I. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
- 85', Chavez B. ↓, Mackay G. ↑,
- 88', Castorani P. ↓, Chavez C. ↑,
- 90+2', Navarro Montoya E. 🟨,
- 90+4', Serpa I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
San Martín de Burzaco
27.7% | Draw
36.4% | Ferrocarril Midland
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de Burzaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Martín de Burzaco's form might have worsened.Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Martín de Burzaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
San Martín de Burzaco - Ferrocarril Midland Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.38 ↑
(2.55) |
2.57 ↓
(3.1) |
2.61 ↓
(2.75) |
6.8%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Ferrocarril may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, SM de Burzaco won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has San Martín de Burzaco won against Ferrocarril Midland?
San Martín de Burzaco has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrocarril Midland won against San Martín de Burzaco?
Ferrocarril Midland has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de Burzaco - Ferrocarril Midland were as follows:
11.05.2025
Ferrocarril Midland
-
San Martín de Burzaco
2:0
28.09.2024
Ferrocarril Midland
-
San Martín de Burzaco
2:0
12.05.2024
San Martín de Burzaco
-
Ferrocarril Midland
1:1
22.07.2023
San Martín de Burzaco
-
Ferrocarril Midland
3:2
19.03.2023
Ferrocarril Midland
-
San Martín de Burzaco
1:0
Latest results of San Martín de Burzaco
Latest results of Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera B Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Armenio | 17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 34 |
| 2 | Midland | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 19:8 | 11 | 32 |
| 3 | Real Pilar | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Laferrere | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 21:16 | 5 | 28 |
| 5 | Flandria | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 27 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | San Martin Burzaco | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 24 |
| 8 | Comunicaciones | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 | Villa San Carlos | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
| 10 | Sacachispas | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
| 11 | Argentino de Merlo | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 23:22 | 1 | 23 |
| 12 | Brown Adrogue | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:18 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 | Villa Dalmine | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 14:18 | -4 | 22 |
| 14 | Excursionistas | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 15 | Acassuso | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 20 |
| 16 | Liniers | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 20 |
| 17 | Argentino de Quilmes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 18 |
| 18 | UAI Urquiza | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 8:21 | -13 | 15 |
| 19 | Dep. Merlo | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 14 |
| 20 | Dock Sud | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9:19 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 | Fenix | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 13:23 | -10 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)
