Ferrocarril Midland vs San Martín de Burzaco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera B Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de Burzaco
Result
2:0
11/05/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Apertura - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, TyC Sports Play
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
uruguayUruguayDSports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDSports 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
124
Shots on target
30
Corner Kicks
31
Yellow Cards
56
Red Cards
02
Total shots
124
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
94
Corner Kicks
31
Goalkeeper Saves
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', Ortigoza M. 🟨,
  • 6', Gomez G. 🟨,
  • 17', Violini N. 🟨,
  • 17', Frattini M. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Vico L. ,
  • 36', Auzqui D. 🟨,
  • 38', Geneiro L. 🟨,
  • 44', Camejo J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Gigli L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Ortigoza M. 🟨,
  • 59', Auzqui D. , Tobon J. ,
  • 59', Treppo E. , Roth J. ,
  • 60', Diaz Laharque L. 🟨,
  • 66', Vico L. , Calabria G. ,
  • 68', Camejo J. , Serpa I. ,
  • 68', Chavez B. , Gimenez F. ,
  • 74', Frattini M. , Cucinotta M. ,
  • 74', Gomez G. , Campana A. I. ,
  • 79', Benitez F. , Molina D. ,
  • 81', Siliman A. 🟨,
  • 84', Figueroa J. 🟥,
  • 85', 2 - 0, Molina F. ,
  • 88', Diaz Laharque L. , Ferrari N. ,
  • 88', Violini N. , Goyeneche J. ,

Chances of winning


Ferrocarril Midland
63.2%
Draw
25.4%
San Martín de Burzaco
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 28.3% 18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 27.7% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferrocarril Midland's performance.
  • San Martín de Burzaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Martín de Burzaco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferrocarril Midland that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Martín de Burzaco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de Burzaco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.72)
    3.66
    (3.25)
    8.18
    (5.03)
    7.5%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferrocarril won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • SM de Burzaco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ferrocarril is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ferrocarril won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ferrocarril won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de Burzaco were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de Burzaco 2:0
    12.05.2024 San Martín de Burzaco - Ferrocarril Midland 1:1
    22.07.2023 San Martín de Burzaco - Ferrocarril Midland 3:2
    19.03.2023 Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de Burzaco 1:0
    18.09.2022 Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de Burzaco 0:1
    Latest results of Ferrocarril Midland
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midland961212:5719
    2Deportivo Armenio94509:3617
    3Brown Adrogue952213:10317
    4Acassuso944114:10416
    5Real Pilar104429:6316
    6Villa San Carlos1044213:11216
    7Laferrere943212:10215
    8Sportivo Italiano942312:9314
    9Sacachispas1035211:9214
    10Flandria103527:5214
    11Argentino de Quilmes1034313:13013
    12Comunicaciones93339:10-112
    13San Martin Burzaco92529:8111
    14Excursionistas932410:12-211
    15Argentino de Merlo1024410:12-210
    16Villa Dalmine102356:10-49
    17UAI Urquiza101545:10-58
    18Fenix101547:13-68
    19Liniers91448:11-37
    20Dep. Merlo101457:13-67
    21Dock Sud101455:11-67

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