San Martín de Burzaco vs Ferrocarril Midland – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera B San Martín de Burzaco - Ferrocarril Midland
Result
1:0
29/09/2025 at 20:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Clausura - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports, TyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
114
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
27
Yellow Cards
52
Total shots
114
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', Diaz Laharque L. 🟨,
  • 40', Molina B. 🟨,
  • 45', Chavez B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', 1 - 0, Camejo F. ,
  • 64', Treppo E. 🟨,
  • 67', Penepil M. , Frattini M. ,
  • 67', Roth J. , Ortigoza M. ,
  • 67', Camejo F. , Serpa I. ,
  • 67', Diaz Laharque L. , Gomez G. ,
  • 73', Treppo E. , Roberts D. ,
  • 78', Castorani P. 🟨,
  • 82', Rogoski M. , Goyeneche J. ,
  • 82', Campana A. I. , Arias A. ,
  • 85', Chavez B. , Mackay G. ,
  • 88', Castorani P. , Chavez C. ,
  • 90+2', Navarro Montoya E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Serpa I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Martín de Burzaco
27.7%
Draw
36.4%
Ferrocarril Midland
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 29.9% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 31.4% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Martín de Burzaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Martín de Burzaco's form might have worsened.
  • Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Martín de Burzaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • San Martín de Burzaco - Ferrocarril Midland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.38
    (2.55)
    2.57
    (3.1)
    2.61
    (2.75)
    6.8%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Ferrocarril may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 0.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, SM de Burzaco won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de Burzaco - Ferrocarril Midland were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de Burzaco 2:0
    28.09.2024 Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de Burzaco 2:0
    12.05.2024 San Martín de Burzaco - Ferrocarril Midland 1:1
    22.07.2023 San Martín de Burzaco - Ferrocarril Midland 3:2
    19.03.2023 Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de Burzaco 1:0
    Latest results of Ferrocarril Midland
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midland1483317:71027
    2Deportivo Armenio1476117:9827
    3Real Pilar1576214:7727
    4Sportivo Italiano1575316:10626
    5Flandria1558212:6623
    6Villa San Carlos1557318:14422
    7Laferrere1557317:14322
    8San Martin Burzaco1556417:13421
    9Argentino de Merlo1655620:20020
    10Brown Adrogue1555516:16020
    11Comunicaciones1455415:16-120
    12Sacachispas1547416:14219
    13Villa Dalmine1554612:15-319
    14Excursionistas1453619:19018
    15Argentino de Quilmes1646621:24-318
    16Acassuso1545617:21-417
    17Liniers1545616:21-517
    18Dock Sud162778:18-1013
    19Dep. Merlo1626812:20-812
    20Fenix1526711:19-812
    21UAI Urquiza142667:15-812

          Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)