Ferrocarril Midland vs San Martín de Burzaco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera B Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de Burzaco
Result
2:0
11/05/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Apertura - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, TyC Sports Play
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
uruguayUruguayDSports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDSports 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
124
Shots on target
30
Corner Kicks
31
Yellow Cards
56
Red Cards
02
Total shots
124
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
94
Corner Kicks
31
Goalkeeper Saves
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', Ortigoza M. 🟨,
  • 6', Gomez G. 🟨,
  • 17', Violini N. 🟨,
  • 17', Frattini M. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Vico L. ,
  • 36', Auzqui D. 🟨,
  • 38', Geneiro L. 🟨,
  • 44', Camejo J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Gigli L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Ortigoza M. 🟨,
  • 59', Auzqui D. , Tobon J. ,
  • 59', Treppo E. , Roth J. ,
  • 60', Diaz Laharque L. 🟨,
  • 66', Vico L. , Calabria G. ,
  • 68', Camejo J. , Serpa I. ,
  • 68', Chavez B. , Gimenez F. ,
  • 74', Frattini M. , Cucinotta M. ,
  • 74', Gomez G. , Campana A. I. ,
  • 79', Benitez F. , Molina D. ,
  • 81', Siliman A. 🟨,
  • 84', Figueroa J. 🟥,
  • 85', 2 - 0, Molina F. ,
  • 88', Diaz Laharque L. , Ferrari N. ,
  • 88', Violini N. , Goyeneche J. ,

Chances of winning


Ferrocarril Midland
63.2%
Draw
25.4%
San Martín de Burzaco
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 28.3% 18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 27.7% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferrocarril Midland's performance.
  • San Martín de Burzaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Martín de Burzaco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferrocarril Midland that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Martín de Burzaco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de Burzaco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.72)
    3.66
    (3.25)
    8.18
    (5.03)
    7.5%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferrocarril won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • SM de Burzaco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ferrocarril is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ferrocarril won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ferrocarril won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de Burzaco were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de Burzaco 2:0
    12.05.2024 San Martín de Burzaco - Ferrocarril Midland 1:1
    22.07.2023 San Martín de Burzaco - Ferrocarril Midland 3:2
    19.03.2023 Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de Burzaco 1:0
    18.09.2022 Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de Burzaco 0:1
    Latest results of Ferrocarril Midland
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midland1172215:51023
    2Deportivo Armenio1256112:6621
    3Real Pilar1255211:7420
    4Sacachispas1347215:11419
    5Flandria134729:5419
    6Brown Adrogue1254314:12219
    7San Martin Burzaco1246214:8618
    8Villa San Carlos1246213:11218
    9Laferrere1245314:13117
    10Sportivo Italiano1144313:10316
    11Argentino de Quilmes1344519:20-116
    12Acassuso1244415:17-216
    13Comunicaciones1244414:16-216
    14Villa Dalmine1344511:13-216
    15Excursionistas1243514:15-115
    16Argentino de Merlo1335514:17-314
    17Liniers1225512:15-311
    18Dep. Merlo1224611:17-610
    19Dock Sud122466:14-810
    20Fenix121658:16-89
    21UAI Urquiza111555:11-68

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