Málaga vs Ferrol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
22/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 32
  • Referee: Cid G. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga TV Bar 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.90
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
813
Shots on Goal
61
Shots off Goal
26
Blocked Shots
06
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
22
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
05
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
1215
Offsides
36
Fouls
1512
Yellow Cards
32
Throw-ins
2528
Touches in the Opposition Box
1815
Passes
81% (342/424)82% (315/384)
Passes in the final third
63% (67/107)74% (72/97)
Crosses
14% (1/7)37% (7/19)
Tackles
59% (10/17)67% (12/18)
Clearances Total
2516
Interceptions
107

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Lobete J. , Medina K. (A),
  • 12', Juanpe 🟨,
  • 21', Manzanara F. 🟨,
  • 39', 2 - 0, Larrubia D. , Lobete J. (A),
  • 44', Gabilondo J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gabilondo J. , Puga C. ,
  • 46', Juanpe , Molina M. ,
  • 61', Medina K. , Rahmani Y. ,
  • 67', Bunuel A. , Nacho ,
  • 67', Pena H. , Correa R. ,
  • 70', Dioni , Chupe ,
  • 79', Manzanara F. , Borrego C. ,
  • 82', Sanz A. 🟨,
  • 83', Lobete J. , Sangalli L. ,
  • 85', Puga C. 🟨,
  • 86', Gimenez A. , Jauregi E. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/y8bzn9ey

Chances of winning


Málaga
53.2%
Draw
29.1%
Ferrol
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 28.5% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 27.7% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Málaga - Ferrol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.89)
    3.23
    (3.34)
    5.3
    (4.49)
    6.2%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Málaga - Ferrol?
  • Users Predictions: Málaga will win (25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.71%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent matches Málaga is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ferrol has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Málaga is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Hamstring Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Merino I. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Ferrol: Cabaco E. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Málaga: Lorenzo D. (Hip Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Málaga won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Ferrol were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Ferrol - Málaga 2:2
    Latest results of Málaga
    09.03.2025 Málaga - Cádiz 0:2
    01.03.2025 Almería - Málaga 2:2
    21.02.2025 Málaga - Tenerife 1:0
    15.02.2025 Cartagena - Málaga 0:1
    Latest results of Ferrol
    15.03.2025 Ferrol - Eibar 0:0
    09.03.2025 Granada - Ferrol 3:0
    05.03.2025 Ferrol - Burgos 0:1
    01.03.2025 Huesca - Ferrol 3:1
    22.02.2025 Ferrol - Córdoba 0:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander31185862:441859
    2Dep. La Coruna31167848:351355
    3Almeria31167859:431655
    4Malaga31166952:371554
    5Las Palmas311312640:241651
    6Castellon31148950:381250
    7Burgos CF31148936:261050
    8Eibar311291033:30345
    9Gijon311361242:39345
    10Ceuta311351339:50-1144
    11Albacete311191139:40-142
    12Cordoba311181241:47-641
    13Real Sociedad B311171344:43140
    14Granada CF319121037:34339
    15Andorra311091237:42-539
    16Cadiz CF311081331:39-838
    17Leganes319101236:34237
    18Valladolid31991336:45-936
    19Huesca31871630:45-1531
    20Zaragoza31791527:43-1630
    21Cultural Leonesa31771729:50-2128
    22Mirandes31761830:50-2027

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