Málaga vs Ferrol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
22/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 32
  • Referee: Cid G. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga TV Bar 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.90
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
813
Shots on Goal
61
Shots off Goal
26
Blocked Shots
06
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
22
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
05
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
1215
Offsides
36
Fouls
1512
Yellow Cards
32
Throw-ins
2528
Touches in the Opposition Box
1815
Passes
81% (342/424)82% (315/384)
Passes in the final third
63% (67/107)74% (72/97)
Crosses
14% (1/7)37% (7/19)
Tackles
59% (10/17)67% (12/18)
Clearances Total
2516
Interceptions
107

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Lobete J. , Medina K. (A),
  • 12', Juanpe 🟨,
  • 21', Manzanara F. 🟨,
  • 39', 2 - 0, Larrubia D. , Lobete J. (A),
  • 44', Gabilondo J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gabilondo J. , Puga C. ,
  • 46', Juanpe , Molina M. ,
  • 61', Medina K. , Rahmani Y. ,
  • 67', Bunuel A. , Nacho ,
  • 67', Pena H. , Correa R. ,
  • 70', Dioni , Chupe ,
  • 79', Manzanara F. , Borrego C. ,
  • 82', Sanz A. 🟨,
  • 83', Lobete J. , Sangalli L. ,
  • 85', Puga C. 🟨,
  • 86', Gimenez A. , Jauregi E. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/y8bzn9ey

Chances of winning


Málaga
53.2%
Draw
29.1%
Ferrol
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 28.5% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 27.7% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Málaga - Ferrol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.89)
    3.23
    (3.34)
    5.3
    (4.49)
    6.2%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Málaga - Ferrol?
  • Users Predictions: Málaga will win (25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.71%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent matches Málaga is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ferrol has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Málaga is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Hamstring Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Merino I. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Ferrol: Cabaco E. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Málaga: Lorenzo D. (Hip Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Málaga won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Ferrol were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Ferrol - Málaga 2:2
    Latest results of Málaga
    09.03.2025 Málaga - Cádiz 0:2
    01.03.2025 Almería - Málaga 2:2
    21.02.2025 Málaga - Tenerife 1:0
    15.02.2025 Cartagena - Málaga 0:1
    Latest results of Ferrol
    15.03.2025 Ferrol - Eibar 0:0
    09.03.2025 Granada - Ferrol 3:0
    05.03.2025 Ferrol - Burgos 0:1
    01.03.2025 Huesca - Ferrol 3:1
    22.02.2025 Ferrol - Córdoba 0:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander352051072:541865
    2Dep. La Coruna351710853:381561
    3Almeria351871067:521561
    4Malaga35179958:411760
    5Burgos CF35179942:291360
    6Castellon351610958:431558
    7Las Palmas351512845:301557
    8Eibar341591040:31954
    9Andorra3513101251:47449
    10Gijon351471445:44149
    11Ceuta351471442:55-1349
    12Cordoba351391347:52-548
    13Granada CF3511121244:41345
    14Albacete3511111344:47-344
    15Leganes3510121340:38242
    16Real Sociedad B351181645:50-541
    17Valladolid341091539:47-839
    18Cadiz CF351081733:48-1538
    19Zaragoza358101731:47-1634
    20Huesca35891835:53-1833
    21Mirandes35891837:56-1933
    22Cultural Leonesa35881931:56-2532

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