Result
1:3
03/01/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Cordero A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1 |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | M+ LaLiga 4, M+ LaLiga TV 2 |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7 |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
 World | DirecTV Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (289/366) | 81% (379/468) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 66% (55/83) | 65% (76/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 14% (1/7) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 69% (9/13) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Pacha ⚽, Trejo O. (A),
- 32', 0 - 2, de Frutos J. ⚽, Gumbau G. (A),
- 38', Valentin O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Nteka R. ↓, Guardiola S. ↑,
- 48', de Frutos J. 🟨,
- 59', 0 - 3, de Frutos J. ⚽, Pacha (A),
- 64', Gumbau G. ↓, Lopez U. ↑,
- 65', de Frutos J. ↓, Palazon I. ↑,
- 66', Sene J. ↓, Gimenez A. ↑,
- 66', Jauregi E. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
- 72', Trejo O. ↓, Ratiu A. ↑,
- 72', Bebe ↓, Nacho ↑,
- 72', Sanz A. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
- 78', Pacha ↓, Chavarria P. ↑,
- 79', Bunuel A. 🟨,
- 81', Naldo 🟨,
- 83', Palazon I. 🟨,
- 84', Gelardo A. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 3, Gimenez A. ⚽, Bunuel A. (A),
Chances of winning
Ferrol
16.3% | Draw
30% | Rayo Vallecano
53.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Ferrol - Rayo Vallecano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.71 ↑
(5.03) |
3.18 ↑
(3.01) |
1.77 ↓
(1.89) |
5.5%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ferrol - Rayo Vallecano?
Users Predictions:
Rayo Vallecano will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent matches Ferrol is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Rayo Vallecano is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recently Rayo Vallecano have a series of guest games.
- In this match Rayo Vallecano is a favorite.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Rayo Vallecano?
Ferrol has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Ferrol?
Rayo Vallecano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrol - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:
Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
Draw
2025/261/128-finals| 1 | Textil Escudo | SD Negreira | 0 : 4, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Puerto de Vega | CCD Alberite | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 3 | Deportivo Getxo | Betis Valladolid | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Sant Just | Atletico Calatayud | 4 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 5 | CD Sant Jordi | Lourdes | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Manises | UD Los Garres | 0 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Atletico Melilla | Palma del Rio | 0 : 2, 0 : 5 |
| 8 | Sporting Ceuta | Maracena | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Campanario | CD Yuncos | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 10 | Inter de Valdemoro | Univ. Julio Suarez | 1 : 1 |
