Ferrol vs Talavera de la Reina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
31/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
75
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
95
Corner Kicks
43
Goalkeeper Saves
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Moreno M. , Navarro I. (A),
  • 24', Escobar A. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Noriega J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', Roig A. 🟨,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Zalaya A. ,
  • 60', Pitu 🟨,
  • 63', Rodriguez F. , Ouacharaf B. ,
  • 63', Gomez V. , Gallardo Rodriguez E. ,
  • 68', Pena A. , Gelardo A. ,
  • 69', Pascu , Dacosta R. ,
  • 76', Escobar A. , Gimenez A. ,
  • 80', Lopez A. , Ayllon I. ,
  • 80', Navarro I. , Arroyo N. ,
  • 87', Molina S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ferrol
54.9%
Draw
27.7%
Talavera de la Reina
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 25% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8% 24.9% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Ferrol - Talavera de la Reina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.58)
    3.31
    (3.6)
    5.35
    (5.05)
    8.7%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Ferrol - Talavera de la Reina?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ferrol (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Ferrol (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ferrol (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 4.
    • Ferrol has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Talavera is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Ferrol is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ferrol won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrol - Talavera de la Reina were as follows:
    20.05.2023 Talavera de la Reina - Ferrol 0:1
    08.10.2022 Ferrol - Talavera de la Reina 1:0
    Latest results of Ferrol
    23.08.2025 Ferrol - Celta de Vigo B 0:3
    16.08.2025 Ferrol - Ponferradina 1:1
    13.08.2025 Bergantiños - Ferrol 0:1
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife25183445:133257
    2Celta Vigo B25146541:301148
    3Pontevedra251010532:201240
    4Ath Bilbao B25116828:28039
    5AD Merida25115935:33238
    6Real Madrid B25115932:33-138
    7Barakaldo25910633:27637
    8Lugo25910625:22337
    9Racing Club Ferrol251141029:28137
    10Ponferradina25106927:22536
    11Unionistas25106934:30436
    12Zamora2598832:30235
    13Real Aviles25941237:43-631
    14Arenas Getxo25931328:36-830
    15Ourense CF25771128:31-328
    16Cacereno25691022:31-927
    17CF Talavera25741425:36-1125
    18Arenteiro25661323:31-824
    19Guadalajara25661322:39-1724
    20Osasuna B25481317:32-1520

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