Result
1:2
04/05/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 38
- Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 9 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2 |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (338/451) | 60% (158/264) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (338/451) | 60% (158/264) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (26/75) | 30% (25/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (64/113) | 47% (40/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | 0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Guti R. ⚽, Arriaga K. (A),
- 8', Arriaga K. 🟨,
- 25', Moya T. 🟨,
- 37', Gimenez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Arriaga K. ↓, Ares A. ↑,
- 46', Soberon M. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
- 46', Sanz A. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
- 46', Martinez B. ↓, Insua E. ↑,
- 52', 0 - 2, Ares A. ⚽, Tasende D. (A),
- 61', Sene J. (Pen),
- 61', 1 - 2, Sene J. ⚽,
- 61', Dorrio J. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
- 63', Gomez D. ↓, Aketxe A. ↑,
- 64', Gelardo A. ↓, Correa R. ↑,
- 69', Sans P. ↓, Bazdar S. ↑,
- 78', Nacho 🟨,
- 83', Moya T. ↓, Vital B. ↑,
- 84', Manzanara F. 🟨,
- 89', Gimenez A. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/jxr4dsbu
Chances of winning
Ferrol
25.1% | Draw
29.2% | Zaragoza
45.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Ferrol - Zaragoza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.77 ↑
(3.73) |
3.22 ↓
(3.5) |
2.07 ↑
(1.89) |
6%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ferrol - Zaragoza?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferrol: 2.5% – 64.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ferrol (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Zaragoza (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 18).
- Recent form of Ferrol has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Zaragoza has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Zaragoza might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Ferrol: Bunuel A.
(Eye injury)
Cabaco E.
(Knee Injury)
Naldo
(Yellow Cards)
Perea L.
(Heel Injury)
Puric A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Zaragoza: Bare K.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Ferrol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Zaragoza?
Ferrol has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zaragoza won against Ferrol?
Zaragoza has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrol - Zaragoza were as follows:
21.12.2024
Zaragoza
-
Ferrol
1:0
19.05.2024
Zaragoza
-
Ferrol
2:2
25.09.2023
Ferrol
-
Zaragoza
1:0
Latest results of Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:6 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | Valladolid | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Cadiz CF | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Huesca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Gijon | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Las Palmas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Malaga | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Eibar | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Andorra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Mirandes | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Burgos CF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 5 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Almeria | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Leganes | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Cordoba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Ceuta | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | Zaragoza | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Castellon | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Albacete | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 1 |
| 21 | Granada CF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 1 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
