Result
1:1
29/05/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 10
- Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Disney+, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.80 | 0.51 |
Ball Possession |
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49% | 51% |
Total shots |
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18 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 5 |
Passes |
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86% (386/447) | 86% (381/445) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.80 | 0.51 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.16 | 0.17 |
Total shots |
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18 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots off target |
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6 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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10 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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8 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
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10 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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16 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 1 |
Offsides |
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1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 10 |
Passes |
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86% (386/447) | 86% (381/445) |
Long passes |
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42% (27/64) | 59% (24/41) |
Passes in final third |
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73% (52/71) | 73% (104/142) |
Crosses |
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43% (6/14) | 16% (5/31) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.87 | 0.99 |
Throw-ins |
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12 | 24 |
Fouls |
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10 | 12 |
Tackles |
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48% (10/21) | 55% (6/11) |
Duels won |
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47 | 42 |
Clearances |
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33 | 17 |
Interceptions |
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12 | 15 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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0.17 | 1.16 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.83 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Matheus Regis 🟨,
- 10', Victor Souza 🟨,
- 11', 1 - 0, Netinho (Pen),
- 33', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
- 36', Gabriel Bispo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Gabriel Bispo ↓, Abdulai S. ↑,
- 46', Matheus Regis ↓, Robinho ↑,
- 48', Juninho 🟨,
- 63', Netinho ↓, Tarik ↑,
- 63', Dramisino A. ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,
- 63', Albano ↓, Thayllon ↑,
- 79', Lucas Rodrigues ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 80', Juninho ↓, Vitor Barreto ↑,
- 80', Carlao ↓, Quirino ↑,
- 80', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Willian Lins ↑,
- 80', Jefferson Nem ↓, Wallison ↑,
- 85', Tarik 🟨,
- 86', 1 - 1, Maciel L. ⚽, Carrillo R. (A),
Chances of winning
Ferroviária 46.2% | Draw 30% | Botafogo SP 23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferroviária, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Ferroviária - Botafogo SP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.03 ↑ (1.86) |
3.11 ↓ (3.33) |
3.97 ↓ (4.29) |
6.6% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Botafogo SP?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ferroviária (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Botafogo SP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ferroviária is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A.
(Inactive)
Denilson
(Inactive)
Gustavo Medina
(Inactive)
Tarik
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Botafogo SP: Alisson Cassiano
(Injury)
Jean Victor
(Injury)
Matheus Barbosa
(Injury)
Matheus Costa
(Injury)
Wesley Dias
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ferroviária: Thayllon
(Inactive)
Vitor Barreto
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Gustavo Bochecha
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviária won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Botafogo SP?
Ferroviária has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Ferroviária?
Botafogo SP has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - Botafogo SP were as follows:
11.02.2023
Ferroviária
-
Botafogo SP
1:2
Latest results of Ferroviária
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 36 |
2 | Coritiba | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 33 |
3 | Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Chapecoense-SC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 26 |
5 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Cuiaba | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
7 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
8 | Vila Nova FC | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15:16 | -1 | 24 |
9 | Athletico-PR | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 23 |
10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
11 | CRB | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 22 |
12 | Atletico GO | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Athletic Club | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
14 | America MG | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
15 | Operario-PR | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
16 | Paysandu PA | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Ferroviaria | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 18 |
19 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
20 | Amazonas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )