Result
1:1
29/05/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 10
- Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (386/447) | 86% (381/445) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (386/447) | 86% (381/445) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (27/64) | 59% (24/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (52/71) | 73% (104/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 16% (5/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (10/21) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Matheus Regis 🟨,
- 10', Victor Souza 🟨,
- 11', 1 - 0, Netinho (Pen),
- 33', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
- 36', Gabriel Bispo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Gabriel Bispo ↓, Abdulai S. ↑,
- 46', Matheus Regis ↓, Robinho ↑,
- 48', Juninho 🟨,
- 63', Netinho ↓, Tarik ↑,
- 63', Dramisino A. ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,
- 63', Albano ↓, Thayllon ↑,
- 79', Lucas Rodrigues ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 80', Juninho ↓, Vitor Barreto ↑,
- 80', Carlao ↓, Quirino ↑,
- 80', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Willian Lins ↑,
- 80', Jefferson Nem ↓, Wallison ↑,
- 85', Tarik 🟨,
- 86', 1 - 1, Maciel L. ⚽, Carrillo R. (A),
Chances of winning
Ferroviária
46.2% | Draw
30% | Botafogo SP
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferroviária, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Ferroviária - Botafogo SP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.86) |
3.11 ↓
(3.33) |
3.97 ↓
(4.29) |
6.6%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Botafogo SP?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ferroviária (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Botafogo SP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ferroviária is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A.
(Inactive)
Denilson
(Inactive)
Gustavo Medina
(Inactive)
Tarik
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Botafogo SP: Alisson Cassiano
(Injury)
Jean Victor
(Injury)
Matheus Barbosa
(Injury)
Matheus Costa
(Injury)
Wesley Dias
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ferroviária: Thayllon
(Inactive)
Vitor Barreto
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Gustavo Bochecha
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviária won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Botafogo SP?
Ferroviária has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Ferroviária?
Botafogo SP has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - Botafogo SP were as follows:
11.02.2023
Ferroviária
-
Botafogo SP
1:2
Latest results of Ferroviária
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 44 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 24:16 | 8 | 43 |
| 3 | Chapecoense-SC | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:21 | 10 | 39 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 36 |
| 6 | Remo | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | CRB | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 26:22 | 4 | 34 |
| 8 | Vila Nova FC | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 9 | Cuiaba | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29:29 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26:23 | 3 | 33 |
| 11 | Athletico-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 31:33 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Avai | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 30:23 | 7 | 33 |
| 13 | Ferroviaria | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 31 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 31 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 26:33 | -7 | 28 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 20:33 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Amazonas | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 25:34 | -9 | 24 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 14:26 | -12 | 23 |
| 19 | America MG | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 22 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
