Ferroviária vs Náutico Capibaribe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie C Ferroviária - Náutico Capibaribe
Result
2:1
12/05/2024 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 4
Ferroviária - Náutico Capibaribe - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Bruno Mezenga 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Juninho ,
  • 43', Arnaldo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Wendel Lessa , Andrey ,
  • 47', Andrey 🟨,
  • 53', Rodrigues L. 🟨,
  • 58', 🟨,
  • 61', Thiago Lopes , Leandro Barcia ,
  • 68', Gustavo Maia , de Sousa Oliveira T. ,
  • 72', Vitor Barreto , Victor Andrade ,
  • 74', Guilherme Matos 🟨,
  • 82', de Moura C. , Caua A. ,
  • 82', Juninho , Pedro P. ,
  • 82', Ze Mateus , Fernando Boldrin ,
  • 90', Arnaldo , Leandro Kaua ,
  • 90', Rodrigues L. , Weverton ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, de Sousa Oliveira T. ,
  • 90+8', 2 - 1, Pedro P. ,

Chances of winning


Ferroviária
46.7%
Draw
29.8%
Náutico Capibaribe
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 31.6% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 30.6% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferroviária's performance.
  • Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Capibaribe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferroviária that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Capibaribe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ferroviária - Náutico Capibaribe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.43)
    3.05
    (2.9)
    3.86
    (3)
    10%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Náutico Capibaribe?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Náutico could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Ferroviária will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    04.05.2024 Floresta - Ferroviária 1:4
    28.04.2024 CS Alagoano - Ferroviária 1:1
    22.04.2024 Ferroviária - ABC 1:1
    27.03.2024 Ferroviária - CA Juventus 0:1
    24.03.2024 CA Juventus - Ferroviária 1:1
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias1290322:14827
    2Ponte Preta1272311:9223
    3Ypiranga FC1262412:12020
    4Londrina1255219:12720
    5Sao Bernardo1254312:8419
    6Floresta EC125439:9019
    7Nautico1245312:6617
    8Ituano1245312:10217
    9CSA1144314:11316
    10Guarani1244410:10016
    11Brusque114349:10-115
    12Figueirense1235414:13114
    13Maringa FC1135314:14014
    14ABC1228212:14-214
    15Botafogo PB1234512:11113
    16Itabaiana123279:14-511
    17Tombense122559:13-411
    18Confianca1224611:17-610
    19Anapolis121747:13-610
    20Retro112274:14-108

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D

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