Result
0:3
18/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 5
- Referee: Furtado A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.33 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (355/419) | 78% (224/286) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 2.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (355/419) | 78% (224/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 51% (26/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (110/145) | 60% (24/40) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (9/34) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 5 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.82 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 1', Rodrigo Ferreira 🟨,
- 3', Vinicius (Penalty Awarded),
- 29', Alex Alves 🟨,
- 36', Dudu Miraima 🟨,
- 45+6', Foguinho 🟨,
- 45+6', Luiz Felipe 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Alex Alves ↓, Junior Oliveira ↑,
- 46', Pedrinho ↓, Echapora ↑,
- 46', Juninho ↓, Felipe Saraiva ↑,
- 62', Luiz Felipe ↓, Samuel Felix ↑,
- 64', 0 - 1, Pedro Vitor ⚽,
- 69', Dudu Miraima ↓, Jemerson ↑,
- 69', Daniel Amorim ↓, Pablo Dyego ↑,
- 73', Derek ↓, Paulo Sergio ↑,
- 73', Vinicius ↓, Victor Andrade ↑,
- 73', Wenderson ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 77', Helder Maciel 🟨,
- 77', Junior Oliveira 🟨,
- 81', 0 - 2, Foguinho ⚽, Helder Maciel (A),
- 87', Pedro Vitor ↓, Hugo Sanches ↑,
- 88', 0 - 3, Pablo Dyego ⚽, Echapora (A),
- 90+8', Samuel Felix 🟨,
Chances of winning
Náutico Capibaribe
54% | Draw
26.8% | São Bernardo
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Náutico Capibaribe that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+3%)
Náutico Capibaribe - São Bernardo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.82) |
3.46 ↑
(3.3) |
4.88 ↑
(4.34) |
7.1%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Náutico Capibaribe - São Bernardo?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Náutico has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- São Bernardo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- São Bernardo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Náutico is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Náutico: Betao
(Inactive)
Junior Todinho
(Muscle Injury)
Leonai Souza
(Yellow Cards)
Luiz Felipe
(Inactive)
- There will not play in São Bernardo: Mario Sergio
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Andrade
(Injury)
- There are questionable in São Bernardo: Matheus Salustiano
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Náutico won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Capibaribe won against São Bernardo?
Náutico Capibaribe has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Bernardo won against Náutico Capibaribe?
São Bernardo has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Capibaribe - São Bernardo were as follows:
24.08.2025
São Bernardo
-
Náutico Capibaribe
1:1
21.04.2024
Náutico Capibaribe
-
São Bernardo
1:1
26.08.2023
Náutico Capibaribe
-
São Bernardo
2:2
01.03.2023
São Bernardo
-
Náutico Capibaribe
0:1
Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
Latest results of São Bernardo
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 11 |
| 3 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventude | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Ceara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Nautico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | Avai | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 15 | Ponte Preta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Goias | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Cuiaba | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 18 | Londrina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 19 | CRB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | America MG | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
