Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense vs Ferroviário Fortaleza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Ferroviário Fortaleza
Result
2:0
09/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
65
Shots on target
21
Corner Kicks
22
Total shots
65
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
22
Goalkeeper Saves
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 79', 1 - 0, Thiago Alagoano ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 0, Jailson ,

Chances of winning


Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
58.9%
Draw
25.3%
Ferroviário Fortaleza
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 27.2% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 25.8% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense's performance.
  • Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferroviário Fortaleza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Ferroviário Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.77)
    3.67
    (3.33)
    5.85
    (4.2)
    7.9%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • ASA is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ferroviário is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, ASA is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that ASA will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, ASA won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Ferroviário Fortaleza were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Ferroviário Fortaleza - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 0:1
    06.01.2024 Ferroviário Fortaleza - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 1:2
    05.01.2023 Ferroviário Fortaleza - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    10CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    13AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    14EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    15Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    7AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    8Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA3 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CianorteBarra FC0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MaranhaoSanta Cruz
    2Barra FCInter de Limeira

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2