Result
2:0
21/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cearense - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Lucas Sasha ⚽, GB (A),
- 26', Pedrinho 🟨,
- 45', Leo Paraiso 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Jefinho ↓, Camilo ↑,
- 46', Pedrinho ↓, Pablo Maldini ↑,
- 46', Lucas Crispim ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 56', Kiuan ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
- 58', 2 - 0, Pochettino T. ⚽, Lucas Sasha (A),
- 66', Fuentes G. 🟨,
- 66', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
- 66', Ramires 🟨,
- 67', Iago Reis 🟥,
- 69', Fuentes G. ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
- 69', Lucas Sasha ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 69', Luiz Fernando ↓, Kayke ↑,
- 70', Luan ↓, Bruno Miranda ↑,
- 78', Gazal ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
- 80', Lucas Black ↓, Fernando Portel ↑,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza
73.8% | Draw
17.7% | Ferroviário Fortaleza
8.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)The ML Model estimate for Fortaleza aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Fortaleza - Ferroviário Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.25 ↓
(1.31) |
5.19 ↑
(4.79) |
10.84 ↑
(9.21) |
8.8%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 2-0. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 3.
- Fortaleza is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Ferroviário has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Fortaleza is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Fortaleza will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:9. (average 1.4:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:3. (average 1.8:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Ferroviário Fortaleza?
Fortaleza has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviário Fortaleza won against Fortaleza?
Ferroviário Fortaleza has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Ferroviário Fortaleza were as follows:
14.02.2026
Ferroviário Fortaleza
-
Fortaleza
0:2
11.01.2026
Ferroviário Fortaleza
-
Fortaleza
0:0
08.03.2025
Fortaleza
-
Ferroviário Fortaleza
1:0
05.03.2025
Fortaleza
-
Ferroviário Fortaleza
4:0
01.03.2025
Ferroviário Fortaleza
-
Fortaleza
0:0
Latest results of Fortaleza
Latest results of Ferroviário Fortaleza
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Ferroviario | Fortaleza | 0 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Floresta EC | Ceara | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
Final3rd place| 2 | Ferroviario | Floresta EC | 1 : 0 |
